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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.16+5.16vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.62+6.66vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+7.81vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+2.38vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.42+3.92vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.88+2.00vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.90-0.02vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.98-1.02vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.79-1.36vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College0.72+1.64vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55-2.79vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.58-3.38vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-3.22vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.41-1.39vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-8.06vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-8.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16University of Pennsylvania2.1610.9%1st Place
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8.66Fordham University1.624.2%1st Place
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10.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.992.9%1st Place
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6.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.139.6%1st Place
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8.92Fordham University1.424.9%1st Place
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8.0SUNY Maritime College1.886.0%1st Place
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6.98University of Pennsylvania1.908.6%1st Place
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6.98Fordham University1.989.3%1st Place
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7.64Cornell University1.797.4%1st Place
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11.64SUNY Maritime College0.722.4%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.556.5%1st Place
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8.62University of Pennsylvania1.585.9%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.225.0%1st Place
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12.61SUNY Maritime College0.411.6%1st Place
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6.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.167.9%1st Place
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7.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.776.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McAliley | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 11.8% |
| JJ Klempen | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.6% |
| Spencer Barnes | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Javier Garcon | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 21.4% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Cole Woodworth | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Lars Osell | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 16.2% | 35.4% |
| Will Murray | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.