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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.52+3.95vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.55vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.91+0.99vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.59+3.65vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.58+2.69vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.78+1.09vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.44-1.84vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.84-1.06vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.94-2.44vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.51+0.66vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.71-4.70vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.35-1.74vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University1.49-3.15vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.76-2.71vs Predicted
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16Amherst College-0.49-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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3.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
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3.99Boston College3.910.2%1st Place
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7.65Connecticut College2.590.0%1st Place
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7.69Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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7.09University of Vermont2.780.1%1st Place
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5.16Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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6.94Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.56Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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10.66Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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7.3Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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11.26Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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10.85Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
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12.29University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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14.07Amherst College-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem Sandberg | 14.6% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 22.0% | 21.3% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 17.0% | 18.6% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Colby Vavolotis | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Colin MURPHY | 11.2% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 13.7% | 4.5% |
| Charles Nunn | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Terry Duncan | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 16.7% | 19.7% | 19.5% | 5.4% |
| Molly Haley | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 19.5% | 14.4% | 5.0% |
| Zachary Karakouzian | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 29.3% | 16.1% |
| Alex Dion | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 14.9% | 68.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.