Race 1A

maisa-central-qualifer

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nicholas Clemence 24.6% 17.4% 16.8% 13.6% 11.6% 6.4% 4.8% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gerard Tonachel 12.6% 13.5% 13.5% 12.3% 12.4% 11.8% 8.3% 6.7% 4.3% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Ben Buhl 8.0% 10.5% 11.8% 11.9% 10.4% 11.5% 12.9% 8.5% 8.0% 4.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Conor Cashel 11.4% 10.5% 10.8% 12.5% 11.6% 10.4% 10.2% 10.0% 5.8% 5.2% 1.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Michael Russom 12.8% 13.5% 13.1% 11.2% 9.7% 13.3% 9.6% 7.3% 6.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Samuel Bedinger 9.7% 11.0% 11.6% 10.4% 11.5% 12.1% 9.3% 8.6% 8.5% 5.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Joan Boyle 5.9% 5.6% 6.0% 7.6% 7.6% 6.9% 10.7% 11.5% 14.2% 11.9% 9.4% 2.5% 0.2%
Samantha Gebb 5.0% 6.9% 5.3% 7.1% 8.0% 8.3% 11.3% 12.9% 12.8% 13.7% 6.6% 2.0% 0.1%
John Shanahan 2.9% 3.9% 4.5% 4.6% 5.5% 5.5% 7.4% 10.7% 13.6% 18.3% 15.6% 6.5% 1.0%
Zachary Schippe 5.4% 5.3% 5.0% 5.9% 8.3% 9.3% 9.9% 12.5% 11.9% 14.8% 8.1% 2.8% 0.8%
Laine Meelheim 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 1.0% 1.4% 2.2% 2.9% 4.1% 6.6% 20.2% 35.0% 24.4%
Adam Rybczynski 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 2.2% 1.8% 2.3% 2.7% 3.8% 7.8% 10.4% 25.8% 29.2% 11.3%
Caitlin McEwen 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 1.5% 1.6% 3.5% 7.5% 20.8% 62.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.