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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont4.60+5.58vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.78+3.97vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.06+5.70vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.89+1.81vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.74+4.72vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.00+9.07vs Predicted
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7Harvard University4.52+0.09vs Predicted
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8Brown University4.28-0.27vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.85-2.96vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.33-2.41vs Predicted
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11Tufts University4.33-3.10vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.65-1.79vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-6.28vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.25-2.29vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University3.92-5.78vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut2.51-2.15vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire2.78-4.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.58University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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5.97Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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8.7Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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5.81Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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9.72Connecticut College3.740.0%1st Place
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15.07Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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7.09Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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7.73Brown University4.280.1%1st Place
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6.04Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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7.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.330.1%1st Place
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7.9Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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10.21University of Rhode Island3.650.0%1st Place
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6.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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11.71Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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9.22Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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13.85University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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13.1University of New Hampshire2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clinton Hayes | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cy Thompson | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Williams | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Sinks | 12.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Sterett | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 19.3% | 46.6% |
| Alan Palmer | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jeff Knowles | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Barrows | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leighton | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Tomas Hornos | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ben Quatromoni | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 2.3% |
| Samuel Ingham | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alex Takata | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 6.9% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Sean Andrew | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 24.4% | 22.8% |
| Gregg Griffin | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 16.0% | 19.4% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.