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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Jackson McAliley 10.7% 10.1% 11.7% 8.8% 9.0% 8.2% 7.6% 5.3% 7.0% 5.8% 4.5% 3.6% 3.1% 2.5% 1.5% 0.5%
Sophia Devling 8.2% 6.8% 7.5% 7.9% 7.0% 6.7% 6.7% 7.1% 7.2% 7.8% 5.5% 5.7% 6.3% 5.0% 3.5% 1.2%
Lars Osell 4.3% 4.5% 4.2% 4.5% 4.5% 5.1% 4.9% 6.2% 5.4% 6.2% 6.6% 8.4% 7.8% 9.2% 10.5% 7.6%
Will Murray 9.5% 8.6% 8.0% 9.6% 9.0% 7.6% 7.0% 7.2% 6.8% 6.3% 5.1% 4.9% 4.1% 3.0% 2.5% 1.0%
Spencer Barnes 5.8% 7.4% 5.5% 6.7% 7.0% 7.2% 6.2% 7.5% 7.2% 6.5% 8.1% 7.2% 5.7% 5.5% 4.0% 2.4%
Benjamin Honig 7.3% 6.9% 6.5% 7.2% 7.3% 6.7% 7.8% 7.8% 6.3% 6.0% 6.0% 5.5% 6.2% 6.2% 3.8% 2.3%
Jack Vanderhorst 5.7% 6.7% 5.8% 7.4% 7.2% 7.0% 6.3% 7.1% 7.3% 6.1% 6.4% 7.3% 6.6% 5.2% 5.8% 2.1%
Patrick Dolan 6.6% 5.5% 6.4% 6.2% 5.3% 7.0% 6.2% 6.3% 7.3% 7.1% 6.8% 7.0% 7.0% 5.9% 6.0% 3.4%
Cole Woodworth 5.1% 6.2% 6.5% 5.7% 7.2% 6.3% 6.3% 5.8% 6.6% 7.4% 7.0% 5.9% 6.8% 7.7% 6.3% 3.2%
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones 7.8% 8.3% 7.3% 6.5% 7.8% 8.0% 7.0% 6.0% 6.6% 6.5% 7.4% 5.7% 5.9% 4.5% 2.8% 1.9%
Beckett Kumler 4.9% 5.1% 5.7% 5.4% 6.0% 6.6% 6.7% 6.4% 6.7% 6.9% 7.0% 6.9% 7.6% 7.8% 6.3% 4.2%
Reed McAllister 3.6% 3.9% 3.9% 3.3% 4.5% 4.7% 4.4% 5.6% 4.5% 5.8% 7.0% 7.0% 8.2% 9.3% 12.6% 11.8%
Brooks Turcotte 2.9% 2.4% 3.1% 3.2% 2.1% 3.2% 3.7% 3.8% 4.8% 5.3% 6.1% 6.2% 8.0% 10.8% 14.7% 19.8%
Peter Lobaugh 5.4% 6.3% 5.7% 6.3% 6.2% 5.9% 7.5% 6.9% 6.1% 7.0% 6.3% 7.8% 7.6% 5.6% 5.5% 3.8%
JJ Klempen 10.4% 9.5% 9.9% 9.2% 8.1% 7.4% 8.8% 7.7% 6.8% 5.7% 5.2% 4.5% 3.1% 2.3% 0.9% 0.4%
Ben Hosford 1.8% 1.8% 2.4% 2.1% 1.9% 2.5% 2.9% 3.1% 3.5% 3.5% 4.8% 6.5% 6.1% 9.4% 13.2% 34.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.