Race 11A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
J.J. Smith 16.2% 16.2% 14.7% 13.7% 11.6% 9.7% 7.2% 5.3% 2.8% 1.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Brook Wood 4.8% 5.0% 5.5% 5.9% 7.2% 8.0% 9.0% 9.3% 11.8% 11.2% 9.8% 8.1% 3.5% 0.8%
Lizzie Cochran 6.6% 7.9% 7.2% 6.8% 7.3% 8.4% 9.6% 10.8% 10.2% 8.8% 8.9% 4.8% 2.4% 0.4%
Adra Ivancich 9.6% 9.2% 10.3% 11.2% 9.3% 10.7% 8.5% 10.8% 7.8% 6.2% 3.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Madeleine Rice 9.0% 7.6% 9.3% 11.1% 11.3% 9.7% 10.6% 9.8% 9.4% 5.5% 3.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Sofia Segalla 17.2% 16.4% 15.0% 12.1% 12.8% 9.9% 5.9% 4.9% 2.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Katherine Mason 2.9% 2.9% 3.7% 3.8% 4.2% 5.3% 6.5% 8.1% 9.0% 10.2% 12.6% 13.4% 11.5% 5.9%
Elizabeth Cutler 7.3% 7.4% 8.0% 9.0% 8.8% 9.7% 10.3% 9.6% 9.7% 8.9% 6.8% 3.2% 0.9% 0.3%
Annabelle Brameld 2.4% 2.8% 1.9% 2.9% 3.4% 4.0% 5.8% 5.8% 7.4% 10.8% 12.9% 16.0% 15.4% 8.7%
Annika VanderHorst 4.5% 4.3% 5.3% 5.5% 6.3% 6.6% 8.5% 9.3% 9.3% 10.1% 10.9% 10.1% 7.3% 1.8%
Rebecca Runyan 1.6% 2.1% 2.1% 2.8% 4.0% 4.3% 4.7% 6.6% 8.2% 11.8% 12.7% 16.2% 16.2% 6.7%
Torrey Chisari 16.5% 16.1% 14.9% 11.8% 10.1% 10.0% 8.5% 5.2% 3.2% 2.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Samantha Hemans 0.9% 1.4% 1.0% 2.0% 2.1% 2.5% 3.2% 3.0% 4.9% 5.9% 9.8% 14.9% 22.4% 26.1%
Bennett O'Keefe 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 1.5% 1.5% 1.2% 1.8% 1.6% 3.2% 5.0% 5.2% 8.7% 18.6% 49.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.