Race 1B

maisa-central-qualifer

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Christian Geary 7.6% 7.7% 10.3% 10.3% 11.6% 10.9% 12.0% 9.8% 8.5% 5.1% 4.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
George Prieto 21.0% 18.2% 17.1% 11.9% 10.6% 8.9% 6.0% 3.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Annie Eckmann 4.4% 5.5% 5.3% 8.1% 8.7% 8.6% 9.9% 12.5% 12.9% 11.6% 7.0% 3.9% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christina Johns 6.3% 7.6% 7.5% 10.6% 9.3% 12.0% 11.5% 12.2% 8.8% 7.8% 4.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Godfrey 22.3% 18.5% 19.0% 12.4% 10.7% 7.7% 4.5% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Siegel 11.1% 12.1% 13.8% 11.8% 12.0% 12.4% 7.7% 7.7% 6.4% 3.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marissa Golison 12.9% 12.4% 11.3% 13.9% 11.6% 10.6% 10.9% 7.2% 4.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Scheaffer 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.7% 0.3% 1.1% 1.0% 1.3% 2.2% 3.4% 5.9% 12.0% 18.0% 23.8% 22.7% 6.8%
Andrew Werner 1.2% 1.5% 2.2% 2.5% 2.4% 3.4% 3.0% 5.0% 7.7% 12.9% 17.4% 19.4% 13.4% 5.2% 2.7% 0.1%
Chris Myers 4.6% 7.0% 5.1% 6.1% 7.7% 9.7% 12.4% 14.6% 12.8% 9.7% 6.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
John Koehler 3.8% 3.4% 2.7% 5.0% 5.1% 5.9% 7.2% 9.9% 13.2% 14.8% 15.3% 9.2% 2.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Sarah Celone 3.5% 4.5% 3.9% 5.1% 8.1% 6.8% 9.8% 8.8% 12.1% 15.1% 12.9% 6.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah Saunders 0.7% 0.3% 1.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.2% 2.5% 2.6% 4.3% 6.7% 12.1% 20.4% 23.6% 14.7% 6.8% 1.6%
Emily McCarthy 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 1.4% 1.6% 3.9% 7.3% 14.7% 19.6% 33.8% 14.7%
James Rush 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.9% 1.0% 1.5% 2.6% 6.8% 11.7% 18.9% 27.0% 19.0% 7.5%
Alison Sobeck 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.6% 1.1% 0.7% 2.4% 3.2% 7.6% 14.8% 69.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.