← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
J.J. Smith 18.6% 15.9% 14.4% 11.9% 12.3% 8.3% 6.4% 5.5% 3.5% 1.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Madeleine Rice 8.0% 9.8% 9.3% 9.7% 10.2% 10.8% 10.0% 9.6% 7.8% 7.1% 4.2% 2.1% 1.1% 0.2%
Sofia Segalla 18.7% 16.4% 14.1% 12.3% 11.2% 9.0% 6.9% 5.2% 3.0% 1.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Elizabeth Cutler 6.6% 7.8% 9.2% 9.2% 8.6% 10.2% 9.0% 10.1% 10.3% 8.6% 5.7% 3.5% 1.2% 0.1%
Annika VanderHorst 3.3% 4.5% 4.7% 6.6% 6.5% 5.9% 8.4% 9.7% 11.6% 11.3% 11.1% 9.3% 5.5% 1.8%
Torrey Chisari 15.1% 15.6% 13.5% 14.0% 11.7% 9.8% 8.2% 5.3% 3.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Annabelle Brameld 1.9% 2.4% 2.5% 3.2% 2.9% 4.5% 5.2% 6.6% 6.9% 10.2% 13.6% 15.8% 16.3% 8.2%
Rebecca Runyan 2.1% 2.5% 2.5% 3.2% 4.1% 4.4% 4.8% 5.8% 8.5% 9.8% 12.7% 16.2% 15.3% 8.2%
Brook Wood 5.7% 5.0% 6.0% 6.3% 6.5% 7.8% 9.7% 11.5% 10.0% 10.3% 10.1% 6.7% 3.5% 1.0%
Bennett O'Keefe 0.6% 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 1.4% 1.4% 1.3% 1.8% 3.5% 4.7% 6.2% 9.0% 19.6% 48.1%
Samantha Hemans 1.1% 1.5% 1.1% 1.2% 1.8% 2.2% 2.6% 3.9% 4.0% 6.9% 9.2% 14.4% 23.1% 27.0%
Lizzie Cochran 7.0% 6.9% 7.2% 6.6% 8.3% 8.8% 10.0% 9.7% 9.4% 10.1% 7.4% 5.8% 2.4% 0.5%
Adra Ivancich 8.8% 8.9% 10.4% 10.2% 9.8% 11.4% 10.3% 8.7% 9.3% 5.8% 3.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Katherine Mason 2.5% 2.5% 4.2% 4.3% 4.8% 5.4% 7.3% 6.9% 8.9% 9.9% 13.5% 14.1% 11.1% 4.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.