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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.79+6.05vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+4.32vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+3.99vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.42+4.49vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.41+7.02vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55+1.81vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.94+0.95vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.88-0.43vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.58-0.88vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.71-2.65vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.16-5.19vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.410.00vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-2.89vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.62-6.04vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.72-3.95vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-6.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.05Cornell University1.798.2%1st Place
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6.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.169.8%1st Place
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6.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.779.4%1st Place
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8.49Fordham University1.425.1%1st Place
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12.02SUNY Maritime College0.412.0%1st Place
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7.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.556.2%1st Place
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7.95Fordham University1.947.3%1st Place
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7.57SUNY Maritime College1.887.5%1st Place
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8.12University of Pennsylvania1.586.4%1st Place
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7.35University of Pennsylvania1.717.2%1st Place
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5.81University of Pennsylvania2.1611.7%1st Place
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12.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.411.5%1st Place
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10.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.993.6%1st Place
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7.96Fordham University1.627.0%1st Place
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11.05SUNY Maritime College0.722.4%1st Place
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9.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.224.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sophia Devling | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
Will Murray | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
Beckett Kumler | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
Ben Hosford | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 28.8% |
Jack Vanderhorst | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
Peter Lobaugh | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
Spencer Barnes | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
Cole Woodworth | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
Benjamin Honig | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
Jackson McAliley | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Cooper Delbridge | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 24.8% |
Reed McAllister | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 8.8% |
Patrick Dolan | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
Brooks Turcotte | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 16.0% |
Lars Osell | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.