Race 13A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
J.J. Smith 16.2% 15.2% 14.3% 11.3% 11.2% 10.4% 7.3% 5.9% 3.9% 2.8% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Torrey Chisari 15.9% 14.9% 14.4% 12.8% 10.8% 9.7% 7.2% 5.7% 4.3% 2.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Annika VanderHorst 3.5% 3.7% 4.4% 5.1% 6.1% 6.5% 7.6% 8.2% 9.6% 11.2% 13.6% 11.3% 7.1% 2.1%
Madeleine Rice 8.1% 8.0% 9.0% 10.2% 8.8% 10.2% 9.3% 10.2% 9.3% 7.1% 5.3% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
Sofia Segalla 16.3% 16.0% 14.5% 13.7% 11.1% 8.9% 7.8% 5.1% 3.0% 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Elizabeth Cutler 8.2% 7.3% 7.1% 7.5% 7.8% 9.5% 9.0% 9.2% 10.9% 9.3% 7.0% 4.5% 2.4% 0.2%
Margaux Cowles 6.2% 6.6% 7.0% 8.3% 8.5% 8.2% 9.2% 9.6% 10.0% 9.7% 8.2% 5.7% 2.2% 0.7%
Adra Ivancich 9.1% 9.8% 9.0% 9.2% 10.6% 8.8% 9.7% 8.8% 7.8% 8.2% 5.0% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Rebecca Runyan 2.0% 1.9% 3.2% 2.7% 2.8% 3.9% 4.7% 5.9% 6.6% 8.8% 11.4% 17.9% 18.2% 10.1%
Lizzie Cochran 6.0% 6.8% 6.0% 6.7% 7.2% 8.5% 9.5% 9.4% 11.2% 10.1% 9.4% 5.9% 2.5% 0.8%
Brook Wood 4.3% 4.9% 5.7% 6.2% 7.4% 7.9% 7.9% 9.8% 10.0% 10.2% 11.2% 9.2% 3.7% 1.5%
Katherine Mason 2.8% 3.0% 2.8% 3.5% 5.2% 4.5% 6.6% 7.1% 7.0% 9.9% 12.5% 14.3% 15.2% 5.5%
Samantha Hemans 1.1% 1.5% 1.3% 1.5% 1.5% 2.2% 2.6% 2.9% 4.0% 5.5% 7.2% 14.6% 28.1% 26.1%
Bennett O'Keefe 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 1.2% 1.1% 0.9% 1.5% 2.1% 2.5% 3.1% 5.2% 9.2% 18.6% 52.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.