Race 4A

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sophie Grigg 8.7% 9.8% 10.6% 12.5% 14.9% 14.2% 11.8% 10.0% 4.5% 2.5% 0.4%
Robert Riecker 32.8% 24.9% 19.2% 12.6% 5.4% 3.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah Arey 7.4% 8.2% 8.9% 10.9% 12.0% 12.2% 13.2% 12.6% 8.3% 4.9% 1.2%
Charlotte Stillman 10.3% 12.7% 15.0% 13.2% 14.1% 11.3% 10.4% 7.3% 4.3% 1.2% 0.2%
Olivia Coffill 8.0% 9.1% 11.1% 11.8% 14.1% 13.2% 12.4% 8.3% 8.4% 2.9% 0.6%
Ethan Deutsch 3.2% 4.1% 4.8% 7.1% 7.8% 11.3% 12.0% 14.8% 15.7% 13.6% 5.6%
Rose von Eckartsberg 3.1% 3.1% 4.1% 6.7% 7.2% 9.6% 12.4% 13.2% 17.2% 15.7% 7.8%
Iain Shand 21.7% 21.4% 17.2% 14.7% 11.0% 6.4% 5.1% 2.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Alice Kilkelly 1.2% 1.7% 2.9% 3.2% 4.7% 6.8% 7.4% 9.4% 14.0% 24.6% 24.2%
Mac Fitzgerald 2.8% 3.9% 4.8% 5.9% 6.7% 8.7% 10.0% 14.5% 16.7% 16.7% 9.6%
Ella Dieterlen 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 1.5% 2.1% 3.1% 4.0% 7.1% 10.7% 17.8% 50.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.