Race 15A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Torrey Chisari 15.0% 13.9% 13.7% 14.1% 10.9% 10.0% 8.0% 5.8% 4.2% 2.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
J.J. Smith 17.5% 15.9% 14.6% 12.5% 11.4% 7.3% 7.7% 6.2% 3.5% 1.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Elizabeth Cutler 7.6% 7.3% 7.8% 7.8% 8.5% 8.4% 10.5% 9.2% 9.5% 8.1% 6.9% 6.2% 1.7% 0.4%
Annika VanderHorst 4.0% 4.2% 4.2% 5.0% 5.9% 7.1% 7.1% 8.6% 10.5% 11.2% 12.8% 9.8% 7.5% 2.1%
Sofia Segalla 16.1% 15.6% 13.5% 14.1% 10.7% 8.3% 8.7% 5.3% 3.5% 2.4% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Margaux Cowles 6.6% 7.0% 6.7% 8.3% 8.6% 8.2% 10.7% 9.2% 10.7% 9.0% 7.0% 5.3% 2.1% 0.7%
Madeleine Rice 8.6% 9.5% 9.6% 8.6% 9.6% 10.1% 8.3% 9.8% 8.7% 7.0% 5.0% 3.6% 1.3% 0.2%
Rebecca Runyan 2.1% 2.1% 2.4% 2.9% 3.0% 4.1% 3.8% 5.8% 6.6% 8.3% 11.9% 16.8% 19.9% 10.6%
Lizzie Cochran 5.8% 6.0% 6.5% 7.3% 7.6% 9.3% 8.0% 10.2% 10.5% 10.3% 9.0% 5.9% 3.0% 0.5%
Katherine Mason 2.8% 3.2% 3.3% 3.5% 4.0% 4.8% 5.1% 5.4% 7.6% 9.3% 14.4% 16.4% 14.4% 5.9%
Adra Ivancich 8.6% 8.8% 9.6% 8.2% 9.5% 11.4% 10.5% 8.9% 7.8% 7.1% 5.5% 2.9% 1.1% 0.1%
Bennett O'Keefe 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 1.5% 1.7% 1.4% 2.2% 2.1% 3.8% 5.5% 8.8% 17.6% 52.5%
Samantha Hemans 1.2% 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 1.9% 2.1% 2.1% 3.2% 4.7% 6.2% 8.2% 14.0% 26.8% 26.0%
Brook Wood 4.0% 4.9% 5.8% 5.5% 7.0% 7.2% 8.2% 10.1% 10.2% 12.4% 10.7% 8.8% 4.4% 1.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.