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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+0.52vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.73+0.66vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.19+0.33vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina-1.26+0.88vs Predicted
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5Duke University0.06-1.66vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.78-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.52College of Charleston2.0762.2%1st Place
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2.66Clemson University0.7316.4%1st Place
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3.33The Citadel0.198.5%1st Place
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4.88University of South Carolina-1.261.8%1st Place
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3.34Duke University0.069.2%1st Place
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5.27North Carolina State University-1.781.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 62.2% | 26.7% | 8.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 16.4% | 31.4% | 28.7% | 17.3% | 5.5% | 0.6% |
| Kenneth Buck | 8.5% | 18.3% | 25.7% | 30.4% | 14.1% | 3.1% |
| Alana Vodicka | 1.8% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 37.5% | 36.2% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 9.2% | 16.9% | 25.4% | 30.6% | 14.6% | 3.2% |
| Joe Lewandowski | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 28.1% | 56.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.