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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+0.58vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.73+0.57vs Predicted
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3Duke University0.06+0.36vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.19-0.67vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina-1.26-0.12vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.78-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58College of Charleston2.0758.7%1st Place
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2.57Clemson University0.7318.6%1st Place
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3.36Duke University0.069.8%1st Place
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3.33The Citadel0.199.3%1st Place
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4.88University of South Carolina-1.261.8%1st Place
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5.28North Carolina State University-1.781.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 58.7% | 28.0% | 10.5% | 2.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 18.6% | 32.6% | 27.3% | 16.1% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 9.8% | 15.8% | 24.9% | 30.2% | 16.3% | 2.9% |
| Kenneth Buck | 9.3% | 16.5% | 26.4% | 30.4% | 14.2% | 3.1% |
| Alana Vodicka | 1.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 40.2% | 34.7% |
| Joe Lewandowski | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 8.7% | 24.5% | 58.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.