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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+0.55vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.73+0.66vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.19+0.27vs Predicted
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4Duke University0.06-0.63vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina-1.26-0.14vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.78-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55College of Charleston2.0759.5%1st Place
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2.66Clemson University0.7317.3%1st Place
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3.27The Citadel0.1910.1%1st Place
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3.37Duke University0.068.9%1st Place
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4.86University of South Carolina-1.262.9%1st Place
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5.29North Carolina State University-1.781.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 59.5% | 28.5% | 9.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 17.3% | 29.9% | 29.0% | 17.6% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 10.1% | 18.4% | 26.5% | 27.6% | 14.6% | 2.9% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 8.9% | 16.8% | 23.9% | 31.9% | 15.2% | 3.2% |
| Alana Vodicka | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 12.7% | 38.7% | 35.2% |
| Joe Lewandowski | 1.1% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 26.1% | 57.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.