← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.07+0.51vs Predicted
-
2Duke University0.06+1.39vs Predicted
-
3Clemson University0.73-0.37vs Predicted
-
4The Citadel0.19-0.71vs Predicted
-
5University of South Carolina-1.26-0.12vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University-1.78-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.51College of Charleston2.0761.6%1st Place
-
3.39Duke University0.068.2%1st Place
-
2.63Clemson University0.7317.9%1st Place
-
3.29The Citadel0.199.3%1st Place
-
4.88University of South Carolina-1.261.7%1st Place
-
5.3North Carolina State University-1.781.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 61.6% | 27.7% | 8.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 8.2% | 16.8% | 26.0% | 29.8% | 15.4% | 3.8% |
| Nilah Miller | 17.9% | 31.4% | 26.2% | 18.9% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Kenneth Buck | 9.3% | 18.0% | 26.8% | 29.0% | 14.0% | 2.9% |
| Alana Vodicka | 1.7% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 39.9% | 34.1% |
| Joe Lewandowski | 1.1% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 25.7% | 58.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.