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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+0.55vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.73+0.60vs Predicted
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3Duke University0.06+0.36vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.19-0.66vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-1.78+0.32vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina-1.26-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55College of Charleston2.0761.2%1st Place
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2.6Clemson University0.7318.0%1st Place
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3.36Duke University0.069.1%1st Place
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3.34The Citadel0.198.5%1st Place
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5.32North Carolina State University-1.781.0%1st Place
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4.83University of South Carolina-1.262.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 61.2% | 25.4% | 11.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 18.0% | 32.0% | 28.2% | 16.4% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 9.1% | 17.4% | 24.2% | 29.9% | 15.8% | 3.5% |
| Kenneth Buck | 8.5% | 18.4% | 24.8% | 30.6% | 14.4% | 3.2% |
| Joe Lewandowski | 1.0% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 25.2% | 59.6% |
| Alana Vodicka | 2.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 13.7% | 39.6% | 33.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.