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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+0.56vs Predicted
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2Duke University0.06+1.36vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.73-0.35vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.19-0.74vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina-1.26-0.08vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.78-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.56College of Charleston2.0759.5%1st Place
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3.36Duke University0.069.8%1st Place
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2.65Clemson University0.7317.2%1st Place
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3.26The Citadel0.199.9%1st Place
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4.92University of South Carolina-1.262.2%1st Place
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5.24North Carolina State University-1.781.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 59.5% | 27.8% | 10.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 9.8% | 16.6% | 23.6% | 30.9% | 15.9% | 3.2% |
| Nilah Miller | 17.2% | 30.5% | 28.9% | 17.1% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
| Kenneth Buck | 9.9% | 19.7% | 24.6% | 28.9% | 14.3% | 2.5% |
| Alana Vodicka | 2.2% | 3.0% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 39.4% | 36.2% |
| Joe Lewandowski | 1.4% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 24.6% | 57.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.