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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+0.53vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.73+0.63vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.19+0.35vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-1.78+1.25vs Predicted
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5Duke University0.06-1.65vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina-1.26-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.53College of Charleston2.0761.3%1st Place
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2.63Clemson University0.7316.2%1st Place
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3.35The Citadel0.199.7%1st Place
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5.25North Carolina State University-1.781.5%1st Place
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3.35Duke University0.069.2%1st Place
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4.87University of South Carolina-1.262.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 61.3% | 27.1% | 9.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 16.2% | 32.8% | 29.2% | 15.8% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Kenneth Buck | 9.7% | 17.1% | 23.5% | 31.4% | 14.9% | 3.5% |
| Joe Lewandowski | 1.5% | 2.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 25.5% | 57.2% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 9.2% | 16.0% | 26.5% | 29.7% | 15.5% | 3.1% |
| Alana Vodicka | 2.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 12.8% | 38.8% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.