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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland2.18+5.92vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.74+3.22vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.44+0.54vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-0.15vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia1.66+3.66vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.38+0.39vs Predicted
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7Colgate University0.89+3.85vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology0.25+4.52vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo2.44-2.83vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.13-0.63vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.01-4.46vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.10-5.54vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.32-4.12vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University0.43-2.88vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute1.71-7.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.92University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
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5.22SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
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3.54U. S. Naval Academy3.440.2%1st Place
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3.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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8.66University of Virginia1.660.0%1st Place
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6.39George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.85Colgate University0.890.0%1st Place
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12.52Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.0%1st Place
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6.17University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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10.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.130.0%1st Place
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7.54Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.46SUNY Maritime College2.100.0%1st Place
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9.88Cornell University1.320.0%1st Place
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12.12Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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8.49Webb Institute1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Prucnal | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Mike Carr | 9.7% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Popp | 22.5% | 19.3% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 21.1% | 16.3% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Ian Connors | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jeffrey Gordon | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 12.4% |
| Daniel Christiani | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 18.7% | 37.3% |
| Griffin Orr | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Baransky | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 8.6% |
| Edward Titcomb | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Nilsen | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Bradley Barth | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 6.2% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 13.6% | 19.0% | 28.7% |
| Nathan Fast | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.