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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.71+1.51vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+4.71vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.47-0.02vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.45+0.57vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.59-0.17vs Predicted
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6American University-0.61-1.19vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-2.11+0.94vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.30-1.65vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-1.52-2.33vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-2.72-0.88vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-2.98-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Virginia Tech0.7133.1%1st Place
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6.71SUNY Stony Brook-0.603.9%1st Place
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2.98Drexel University0.4723.4%1st Place
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4.57University of Maryland-0.4510.2%1st Place
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4.83University of Delaware-0.598.8%1st Place
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4.81American University-0.619.1%1st Place
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7.94Syracuse University-2.111.8%1st Place
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6.35University of Delaware-1.304.0%1st Place
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6.67Penn State University-1.523.9%1st Place
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9.12William and Mary-2.721.1%1st Place
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9.5U. S. Military Academy-2.980.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Cogswell | 33.1% | 24.6% | 19.7% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 9.6% | 3.9% |
| Iain Shand | 23.4% | 23.1% | 19.2% | 14.6% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 10.2% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Coffill | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Lorson | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Alice Kilkelly | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 20.3% | 12.0% |
| Logan Devaric | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 7.6% | 1.8% |
| Mac Fitzgerald | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 9.3% | 3.4% |
| Alexander Deas | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 14.0% | 25.0% | 34.2% |
| Kota McCann | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 23.8% | 44.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.