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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.85+4.70vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.52+4.90vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.28+4.86vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.89+1.82vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College4.06+3.54vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont4.60+0.89vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.65+3.24vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University4.78-1.97vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.33-1.13vs Predicted
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10Tufts University4.33-2.42vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University3.92-1.60vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-5.39vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.74-2.99vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire2.78-0.82vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.25-3.45vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut2.51-2.16vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.00-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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6.9Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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7.86Brown University4.280.1%1st Place
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5.82Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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8.54Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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6.89University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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10.24University of Rhode Island3.650.0%1st Place
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6.03Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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7.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.330.1%1st Place
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7.58Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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9.4Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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6.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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10.01Connecticut College3.740.0%1st Place
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13.18University of New Hampshire2.780.0%1st Place
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11.55Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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13.84University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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14.99Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Barrows | 12.7% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alan Palmer | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Knowles | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Sinks | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Williams | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Clinton Hayes | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ben Quatromoni | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Cy Thompson | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leighton | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Tomas Hornos | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Samuel Ingham | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Matt Sterett | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Gregg Griffin | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 16.8% | 19.9% | 16.6% |
| Alex Takata | 1.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 6.5% |
| Sean Andrew | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 21.8% | 23.5% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 10.5% | 20.0% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.