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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+0.57vs Predicted
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2Duke University0.06+1.34vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.73-0.36vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.19-0.69vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina-1.26-0.14vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.78-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.57College of Charleston2.0758.8%1st Place
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3.34Duke University0.069.6%1st Place
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2.64Clemson University0.7317.5%1st Place
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3.31The Citadel0.1910.6%1st Place
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4.86University of South Carolina-1.262.2%1st Place
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5.29North Carolina State University-1.781.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 58.8% | 28.3% | 10.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 9.6% | 15.8% | 26.1% | 30.8% | 15.2% | 2.5% |
| Nilah Miller | 17.5% | 31.4% | 28.0% | 17.1% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| Kenneth Buck | 10.6% | 17.1% | 25.6% | 28.4% | 14.2% | 4.0% |
| Alana Vodicka | 2.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 12.9% | 40.2% | 33.9% |
| Joe Lewandowski | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 8.6% | 24.8% | 58.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.