Race 7A

maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mike Carr 11.1% 12.3% 12.9% 11.0% 11.3% 12.3% 9.3% 7.6% 5.9% 3.5% 1.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Griffin Orr 8.1% 9.4% 10.1% 9.1% 10.8% 11.3% 11.7% 8.7% 8.0% 7.1% 2.8% 2.4% 0.5%
Michael Popp 24.4% 18.8% 15.3% 14.0% 10.8% 6.7% 6.2% 1.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Ian Connors 6.5% 10.4% 9.0% 10.5% 8.7% 10.4% 11.6% 10.8% 8.1% 6.7% 5.7% 1.3% 0.3%
Edward Titcomb 5.5% 6.5% 6.8% 9.6% 8.9% 9.3% 8.6% 11.9% 9.3% 9.5% 8.1% 5.0% 1.0%
Elliott Morrill 21.2% 17.9% 18.2% 12.9% 10.4% 7.0% 6.0% 2.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1%
Andrew Baransky 2.9% 3.0% 2.3% 4.4% 4.1% 5.5% 6.5% 6.8% 8.6% 11.6% 14.1% 17.2% 13.0%
Joshua Prucnal 6.2% 7.9% 6.7% 9.7% 10.0% 10.1% 9.6% 12.9% 9.6% 7.2% 6.3% 2.7% 1.1%
James Codega 2.7% 2.5% 3.4% 2.8% 4.0% 5.0% 5.6% 6.5% 10.2% 11.4% 16.1% 15.4% 14.4%
Jeffrey Gordon 2.3% 1.9% 3.2% 2.6% 2.5% 3.5% 5.2% 7.3% 5.9% 11.8% 14.7% 18.7% 20.4%
Bradley Barth 2.4% 2.5% 3.9% 4.4% 6.9% 6.1% 7.1% 8.2% 11.9% 14.2% 11.8% 13.6% 7.0%
Harmen Rockler 1.0% 0.9% 1.2% 1.7% 2.2% 2.5% 2.8% 4.1% 6.5% 7.0% 10.9% 18.9% 40.3%
Matthew Nilsen 5.7% 6.0% 7.0% 7.3% 9.4% 10.3% 9.8% 11.1% 12.0% 8.6% 7.6% 3.5% 1.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.