Race 8A

maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Elliott Morrill 20.7% 18.9% 17.2% 14.0% 11.5% 6.7% 5.0% 3.4% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Michael Popp 23.6% 22.7% 15.1% 12.9% 9.3% 7.9% 4.9% 2.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Mike Carr 12.5% 10.7% 12.9% 13.1% 11.5% 12.1% 10.1% 9.3% 3.9% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
Bradley Barth 2.0% 3.3% 3.5% 3.9% 5.4% 6.6% 8.9% 10.1% 13.1% 14.7% 17.1% 11.4%
Edward Titcomb 6.1% 6.2% 7.2% 8.1% 9.3% 9.4% 10.4% 11.1% 12.8% 9.3% 6.7% 3.4%
Griffin Orr 9.0% 9.5% 10.1% 9.8% 10.3% 11.7% 11.9% 9.2% 10.1% 5.2% 2.6% 0.6%
Andrew Baransky 2.9% 2.4% 3.2% 3.8% 4.5% 6.2% 7.4% 7.7% 11.1% 17.4% 18.8% 14.6%
Jeffrey Gordon 1.9% 1.9% 3.0% 4.1% 3.5% 3.8% 5.6% 8.3% 10.2% 14.1% 20.9% 22.7%
Joshua Prucnal 6.2% 7.4% 9.8% 8.7% 11.6% 11.5% 11.5% 10.9% 9.9% 7.7% 3.9% 0.9%
Ian Connors 8.8% 9.0% 9.6% 10.3% 12.4% 11.0% 10.3% 11.4% 7.5% 5.7% 2.9% 1.1%
Matthew Nilsen 5.4% 6.3% 7.1% 9.4% 8.2% 10.9% 11.2% 12.0% 11.8% 10.3% 5.0% 2.4%
Harmen Rockler 0.9% 1.7% 1.3% 1.9% 2.5% 2.2% 2.8% 4.4% 7.1% 11.5% 21.0% 42.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.