Race 9A

maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matthew Nilsen 6.2% 6.7% 7.4% 7.5% 9.9% 9.8% 14.1% 11.5% 9.9% 9.4% 5.8% 1.8%
Michael Popp 22.5% 21.2% 17.8% 12.6% 11.2% 6.4% 4.9% 1.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Elliott Morrill 22.7% 18.4% 14.7% 14.1% 11.4% 9.4% 4.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Griffin Orr 7.2% 9.6% 10.3% 10.3% 12.1% 12.6% 10.4% 10.2% 7.1% 7.2% 2.5% 0.5%
Edward Titcomb 5.6% 5.9% 7.4% 10.1% 8.0% 10.3% 9.0% 13.1% 11.4% 9.9% 6.1% 3.2%
Joshua Prucnal 6.2% 7.9% 8.5% 7.9% 9.4% 13.1% 10.8% 10.6% 11.2% 8.3% 4.8% 1.3%
Harmen Rockler 1.4% 1.7% 1.5% 2.2% 2.5% 2.0% 3.9% 6.1% 8.6% 9.9% 20.4% 39.8%
Ian Connors 9.4% 8.5% 10.2% 10.2% 11.6% 10.1% 12.1% 10.0% 8.7% 5.5% 2.8% 0.9%
Mike Carr 12.0% 11.8% 13.5% 14.7% 12.6% 10.3% 10.2% 7.6% 4.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Andrew Baransky 2.7% 3.0% 3.2% 3.2% 4.4% 5.1% 7.1% 8.5% 12.5% 15.5% 19.4% 15.4%
Bradley Barth 2.5% 2.7% 3.1% 4.1% 4.9% 6.3% 8.0% 10.3% 13.9% 15.5% 16.1% 12.6%
Jeffrey Gordon 1.6% 2.6% 2.4% 3.1% 2.0% 4.6% 5.0% 7.3% 10.1% 15.6% 21.3% 24.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.