Race 10A

maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Michael Popp 23.2% 19.5% 16.6% 15.0% 10.6% 7.1% 3.8% 1.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Bradley Barth 2.5% 3.5% 2.6% 4.0% 5.5% 8.5% 7.5% 9.8% 11.1% 16.4% 17.3% 11.3%
Griffin Orr 10.1% 8.5% 8.4% 10.7% 11.9% 12.2% 11.5% 10.3% 7.8% 5.0% 3.1% 0.5%
Elliott Morrill 19.9% 20.8% 17.2% 13.6% 8.6% 8.6% 5.1% 3.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew Nilsen 5.2% 7.7% 8.3% 8.1% 9.2% 9.9% 11.7% 11.9% 11.9% 8.5% 5.8% 1.8%
Edward Titcomb 5.5% 6.8% 8.0% 6.3% 8.8% 9.6% 12.5% 11.5% 11.6% 10.4% 7.2% 1.8%
Jeffrey Gordon 2.4% 2.7% 2.2% 2.7% 3.4% 5.3% 5.4% 8.3% 10.5% 13.1% 19.9% 24.1%
Joshua Prucnal 7.8% 7.5% 8.1% 9.0% 9.5% 10.7% 10.7% 11.7% 10.5% 9.0% 3.9% 1.6%
Mike Carr 11.8% 11.9% 14.2% 13.4% 13.7% 10.5% 8.5% 8.1% 4.7% 2.2% 1.0% 0.0%
Harmen Rockler 0.9% 2.0% 1.8% 2.3% 2.6% 1.7% 5.0% 3.9% 9.0% 10.8% 18.7% 41.3%
Andrew Baransky 2.3% 2.1% 2.1% 3.7% 4.5% 5.6% 6.4% 7.1% 11.5% 17.7% 20.2% 16.8%
Ian Connors 8.4% 7.0% 10.5% 11.2% 11.7% 10.3% 11.9% 11.6% 7.9% 6.1% 2.6% 0.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.