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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.85+5.85vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.78+6.08vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42+2.57vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.38+3.79vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.22+3.46vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+0.80vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.85-1.04vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.49+3.25vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.39+1.93vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.40-2.76vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-3.39vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.72+1.62vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.02-4.50vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.71-3.37vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.95-5.70vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.73-2.27vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.88-3.37vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering0.22-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85Brown University2.858.3%1st Place
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8.08University of Rhode Island2.786.2%1st Place
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5.57Yale University2.4212.0%1st Place
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7.79Bowdoin College2.386.3%1st Place
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8.46Brown University2.226.9%1st Place
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6.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.8%1st Place
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5.96Yale University2.8511.2%1st Place
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11.25Northwestern University1.493.1%1st Place
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10.93Boston University1.393.0%1st Place
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7.24Roger Williams University2.407.6%1st Place
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7.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.2%1st Place
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13.62University of Vermont0.721.5%1st Place
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8.5Boston College2.025.9%1st Place
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10.63Northeastern University1.713.2%1st Place
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9.3Dartmouth College1.954.8%1st Place
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13.73Fairfield University0.731.6%1st Place
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13.63Connecticut College0.881.4%1st Place
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15.05Olin College of Engineering0.220.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 12.0% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Mason Stang | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Stephan Baker | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Shea Smith | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 17.6% | 17.5% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Will Priebe | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 18.1% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 16.7% |
| James Jagielski | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 17.0% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.