← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.71+3.04vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49+2.55vs Predicted
-
3University of Buffalo1.00+6.16vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Maritime College1.87+2.46vs Predicted
-
5University of Virginia0.55+5.59vs Predicted
-
6Webb Institute1.81+0.71vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Maritime College1.89-0.63vs Predicted
-
8Syracuse University1.49-0.29vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University1.74-2.19vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University2.11-4.20vs Predicted
-
11University of Maryland-0.60+2.24vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University1.77-4.99vs Predicted
-
13Colgate University0.49-2.06vs Predicted
-
14Rochester Institute of Technology0.63-3.68vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.65-5.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.04U. S. Naval Academy2.710.2%1st Place
-
4.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.2%1st Place
-
9.16University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
-
6.46SUNY Maritime College1.870.1%1st Place
-
10.59University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
-
6.71Webb Institute1.810.1%1st Place
-
6.37SUNY Maritime College1.890.1%1st Place
-
7.71Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
-
6.81Cornell University1.740.1%1st Place
-
5.8Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
-
13.24University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
-
7.01George Washington University1.770.1%1st Place
-
10.94Colgate University0.490.0%1st Place
-
10.32Rochester Institute of Technology0.630.0%1st Place
-
10.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Killian Corbishley | 19.5% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| William Godfrey | 15.5% | 16.3% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Dante Iozzo | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 3.6% |
| Austin Buonsignore | 7.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Linda Codega | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 17.7% | 10.6% |
| Dylan Froriep | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| John Nothacker | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Colin Keil | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Mia Cooper | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 54.9% |
| Jay Spector | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Beals | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 12.4% |
| Ross Swerling | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 7.7% |
| TImothy Broskus | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.