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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.85+5.73vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.95vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.40+4.34vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.40vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.85+1.05vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.22+2.29vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.02+1.64vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.42-2.34vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.78-1.12vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.95-0.83vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.38-3.32vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.49-0.77vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.39-1.86vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering0.22+1.16vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.71-4.18vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.88-2.45vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.73-3.17vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.72-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73Brown University2.859.0%1st Place
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6.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.2%1st Place
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7.34Roger Williams University2.407.8%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.4%1st Place
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6.05Yale University2.8511.4%1st Place
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8.29Brown University2.226.6%1st Place
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8.64Boston College2.025.1%1st Place
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5.66Yale University2.4212.1%1st Place
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7.88University of Rhode Island2.786.4%1st Place
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9.17Dartmouth College1.954.4%1st Place
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7.68Bowdoin College2.386.9%1st Place
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11.23Northwestern University1.492.5%1st Place
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11.14Boston University1.393.5%1st Place
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15.16Olin College of Engineering0.220.7%1st Place
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10.82Northeastern University1.712.8%1st Place
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13.55Connecticut College0.881.5%1st Place
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13.83Fairfield University0.731.7%1st Place
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13.48University of Vermont0.721.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Stephan Baker | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mason Stang | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Shea Smith | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| James Jagielski | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 37.7% |
| Will Priebe | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 16.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 18.3% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 18.2% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.