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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.71+1.58vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.47+0.93vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+3.61vs Predicted
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4American University-0.61+0.78vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.59-0.18vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.45-1.42vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.30-0.68vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-1.52-1.17vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-2.11-0.98vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-2.72-0.93vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-2.98-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58Virginia Tech0.7130.9%1st Place
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2.93Drexel University0.4725.1%1st Place
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6.61SUNY Stony Brook-0.604.1%1st Place
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4.78American University-0.618.6%1st Place
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4.82University of Delaware-0.599.5%1st Place
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4.58University of Maryland-0.459.5%1st Place
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6.32University of Delaware-1.305.1%1st Place
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6.83Penn State University-1.523.8%1st Place
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8.02Syracuse University-2.111.6%1st Place
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9.07William and Mary-2.720.7%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Military Academy-2.981.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Cogswell | 30.9% | 24.2% | 20.1% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Iain Shand | 25.1% | 24.7% | 18.1% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 8.2% | 3.2% |
| Brooke Lorson | 8.6% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Coffill | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Grigg | 9.5% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Logan Devaric | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 2.2% |
| Mac Fitzgerald | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 17.3% | 10.4% | 4.2% |
| Alice Kilkelly | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 18.8% | 21.2% | 13.5% |
| Alexander Deas | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 25.4% | 32.7% |
| Kota McCann | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 22.9% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.