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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.78+4.87vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.74+7.83vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.89+2.74vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.52+3.02vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.85+0.77vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.00+9.06vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.33+0.69vs Predicted
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8Tufts University4.33-0.41vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University3.92+0.41vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut2.51+3.81vs Predicted
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11Brown University4.28-2.99vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-5.44vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College4.06-4.13vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire2.78-0.82vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont4.60-8.30vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.65-5.77vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College3.25-6.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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9.83Connecticut College3.740.0%1st Place
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5.74Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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7.02Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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5.77Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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15.06Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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7.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.330.1%1st Place
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7.59Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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9.41Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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13.81University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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8.01Brown University4.280.1%1st Place
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6.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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8.87Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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13.18University of New Hampshire2.780.0%1st Place
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6.7University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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10.23University of Rhode Island3.650.0%1st Place
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11.68Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cy Thompson | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Matt Sterett | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Tyler Sinks | 10.9% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alan Palmer | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Barrows | 11.9% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 22.1% | 45.6% |
| Joshua Leighton | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Tomas Hornos | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Sean Andrew | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 22.7% | 21.9% |
| Jeff Knowles | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Ingham | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Williams | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Gregg Griffin | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 19.7% | 17.1% |
| Clinton Hayes | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Ben Quatromoni | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Alex Takata | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.