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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49+3.75vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.81+4.77vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.71+1.13vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.74+3.08vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.65+5.69vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.77+1.06vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.11-1.11vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.89-1.32vs Predicted
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9Colgate University0.82+1.18vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.87-3.21vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology0.63-0.19vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University1.49-3.75vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia0.55-1.80vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland0.83-3.85vs Predicted
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15University of Buffalo1.00-5.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.2%1st Place
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6.77Webb Institute1.810.1%1st Place
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4.13U. S. Naval Academy2.710.2%1st Place
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7.08Cornell University1.740.1%1st Place
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10.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.650.0%1st Place
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7.06George Washington University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.89Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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6.68SUNY Maritime College1.890.1%1st Place
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10.18Colgate University0.820.0%1st Place
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6.79SUNY Maritime College1.870.1%1st Place
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10.81Rochester Institute of Technology0.630.0%1st Place
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8.25Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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11.2University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
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10.15University of Maryland0.830.0%1st Place
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9.58University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Godfrey | 15.4% | 15.7% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Froriep | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Killian Corbishley | 20.5% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| TImothy Broskus | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 17.8% |
| Jay Spector | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Mia Cooper | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| John Nothacker | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Caroline Libby | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.6% |
| Austin Buonsignore | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Ross Swerling | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 21.1% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Linda Codega | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 22.5% |
| Sarah Hamm | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 11.4% |
| Dante Iozzo | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.