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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.81+5.73vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49+2.64vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.11+2.79vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.71+0.20vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.87+1.73vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.74+1.05vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia0.55+3.88vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University1.49-0.08vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College1.89-2.50vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.65+0.71vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology0.63-0.26vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland0.83-1.64vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.77-5.83vs Predicted
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14Colgate University0.49-2.91vs Predicted
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15University of Buffalo1.00-5.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73Webb Institute1.810.1%1st Place
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4.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.1%1st Place
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5.79Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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4.2U. S. Naval Academy2.710.2%1st Place
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6.73SUNY Maritime College1.870.1%1st Place
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7.05Cornell University1.740.1%1st Place
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10.88University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
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7.92Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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6.5SUNY Maritime College1.890.1%1st Place
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10.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.650.0%1st Place
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10.74Rochester Institute of Technology0.630.0%1st Place
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10.36University of Maryland0.830.0%1st Place
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7.17George Washington University1.770.1%1st Place
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11.09Colgate University0.490.0%1st Place
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9.49University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Froriep | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| William Godfrey | 13.7% | 17.4% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mia Cooper | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Killian Corbishley | 18.4% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Buonsignore | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Colin Keil | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Linda Codega | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 18.3% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% |
| John Nothacker | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| TImothy Broskus | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 15.6% |
| Ross Swerling | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 17.8% |
| Sarah Hamm | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 12.6% |
| Jay Spector | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Morgan Beals | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 21.1% |
| Dante Iozzo | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.