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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.74+6.01vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.81+4.66vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.87+3.54vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49+0.73vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.11+0.96vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.89+0.56vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.71-2.84vs Predicted
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8University of Buffalo1.00+1.56vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.65+1.65vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.77-2.95vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University1.49-3.11vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland0.83-1.62vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology0.63-2.10vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia0.55-3.09vs Predicted
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15Colgate University0.49-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.01Cornell University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.66Webb Institute1.810.1%1st Place
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6.54SUNY Maritime College1.870.1%1st Place
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4.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.2%1st Place
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5.96Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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6.56SUNY Maritime College1.890.1%1st Place
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4.16U. S. Naval Academy2.710.2%1st Place
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9.56University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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10.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.650.0%1st Place
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7.05George Washington University1.770.1%1st Place
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7.89Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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10.38University of Maryland0.830.0%1st Place
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10.9Rochester Institute of Technology0.630.0%1st Place
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10.91University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
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11.05Colgate University0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Keil | 7.8% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Dylan Froriep | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Austin Buonsignore | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| William Godfrey | 15.1% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| John Nothacker | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Killian Corbishley | 18.9% | 16.8% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Dante Iozzo | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 7.7% |
| TImothy Broskus | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 15.0% |
| Jay Spector | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% |
| Sarah Hamm | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 12.4% |
| Ross Swerling | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 18.1% |
| Linda Codega | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 18.2% |
| Morgan Beals | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 16.3% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.