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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+4.42vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.39+4.36vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.09+4.78vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.37+2.57vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+2.06vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.55-0.06vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.61+2.72vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.06-0.28vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.42+4.07vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.82-0.88vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.84-2.54vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.07+0.33vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.07-1.52vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-5.63vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.27-0.35vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.51-5.15vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.87-4.69vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering0.46-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42Yale University2.7112.4%1st Place
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6.36Dartmouth College2.399.4%1st Place
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7.78Boston College2.097.4%1st Place
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6.57Brown University2.378.6%1st Place
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7.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.329.5%1st Place
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5.94Yale University2.5510.8%1st Place
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9.72University of Rhode Island1.614.3%1st Place
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7.72Bowdoin College2.067.1%1st Place
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13.07Fairfield University0.421.6%1st Place
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9.12Brown University1.825.9%1st Place
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8.46Roger Williams University1.845.3%1st Place
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12.33Boston University1.072.5%1st Place
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11.48Northeastern University1.072.4%1st Place
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8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.936.1%1st Place
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14.65Connecticut College0.270.9%1st Place
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10.85Tufts University1.512.9%1st Place
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12.31University of Vermont0.871.8%1st Place
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13.79Olin College of Engineering0.461.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.4% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Blake Behrens | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 14.0% |
| Thomas Styron | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Porter Bell | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 9.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 5.7% |
| Maks Groom | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 17.2% | 31.4% |
| Connor Rosow | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 3.7% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.5% |
| Peter Schnell | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.