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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49+3.30vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College1.87+3.85vs Predicted
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3Colgate University1.69+3.32vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.11+1.22vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.89+0.76vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.74+0.20vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.65+1.73vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.71-4.23vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University1.49-2.38vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo1.00-1.98vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.77-4.80vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland-0.60-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.2%1st Place
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5.85SUNY Maritime College1.870.1%1st Place
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6.32Colgate University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.22Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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5.76SUNY Maritime College1.890.1%1st Place
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6.2Cornell University1.740.1%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.650.0%1st Place
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3.77U. S. Naval Academy2.710.2%1st Place
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6.62Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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8.02University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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6.2George Washington University1.770.1%1st Place
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11.02University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Godfrey | 15.6% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Austin Buonsignore | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Emily Bicks | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Mia Cooper | 9.3% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| John Nothacker | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Colin Keil | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 1.1% |
| TImothy Broskus | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 26.6% | 14.1% |
| Killian Corbishley | 21.4% | 18.5% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 1.3% |
| Dante Iozzo | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 15.8% | 19.6% | 8.0% |
| Jay Spector | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 12.5% | 70.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.