← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.71+4.49vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+4.93vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.39+3.65vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.37+2.74vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.06+2.66vs Predicted
-
6Yale University2.55+0.13vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.09+0.91vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University1.84+0.54vs Predicted
-
9Brown University1.82+0.28vs Predicted
-
10Fairfield University0.42+2.90vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island1.42-1.11vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-3.47vs Predicted
-
13Boston University1.07-0.68vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont0.87-1.34vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University1.07-3.64vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University1.51-4.77vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College0.43-3.86vs Predicted
-
18Olin College of Engineering0.46-4.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.49Yale University2.7113.8%1st Place
-
6.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.328.2%1st Place
-
6.65Dartmouth College2.399.0%1st Place
-
6.74Brown University2.377.8%1st Place
-
7.66Bowdoin College2.067.4%1st Place
-
6.13Yale University2.559.7%1st Place
-
7.91Boston College2.098.0%1st Place
-
8.54Roger Williams University1.846.7%1st Place
-
9.28Brown University1.824.2%1st Place
-
12.9Fairfield University0.422.2%1st Place
-
9.89University of Rhode Island1.424.0%1st Place
-
8.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.935.8%1st Place
-
12.32Boston University1.072.1%1st Place
-
12.66University of Vermont0.871.8%1st Place
-
11.36Northeastern University1.073.2%1st Place
-
11.23Tufts University1.513.1%1st Place
-
13.14Connecticut College0.431.5%1st Place
-
13.65Olin College of Engineering0.461.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mia Nicolosi | 13.8% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Nicholas Reeser | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Ryan Satterberg | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Blake Behrens | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Sam Bonauto | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
Emma Cowles | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Caroline Sibilly | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
Drew Mastovsky | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
Thomas Styron | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
Nolan Cooper | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 16.4% |
Tyler Nash | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
Maks Groom | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
Porter Bell | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.1% |
Christian Cushman | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 12.0% |
Joshua Dillon | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% |
Connor Rosow | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% |
Andrew Powers | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 18.1% |
Peter Schnell | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.