Race 8B

maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
TImothy Broskus 2.6% 2.3% 3.0% 4.1% 4.2% 5.7% 4.8% 7.0% 8.0% 15.7% 28.2% 14.4%
John Nothacker 7.7% 10.1% 8.6% 9.4% 10.9% 11.2% 10.0% 10.5% 8.9% 7.3% 4.6% 0.8%
Emily Bicks 8.2% 6.9% 7.5% 6.4% 10.5% 8.8% 10.6% 11.3% 10.9% 10.8% 6.7% 1.4%
Mia Cooper 9.7% 12.1% 12.3% 10.0% 10.8% 11.8% 8.9% 7.5% 8.0% 6.0% 2.5% 0.4%
William Godfrey 15.0% 17.3% 13.9% 12.5% 10.8% 9.5% 6.8% 6.2% 4.0% 2.5% 1.4% 0.1%
Killian Corbishley 19.0% 17.5% 17.0% 12.3% 10.1% 8.4% 7.2% 3.9% 2.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Dante Iozzo 4.3% 4.0% 3.8% 5.9% 6.8% 5.6% 7.5% 8.7% 11.6% 15.2% 19.0% 7.6%
Colin Keil 8.6% 8.1% 8.1% 9.4% 10.1% 8.3% 9.3% 11.2% 11.0% 7.5% 7.4% 1.0%
Austin Buonsignore 8.8% 7.8% 10.4% 11.7% 9.7% 10.8% 10.0% 10.5% 9.1% 6.1% 4.6% 0.5%
Nicholas Pardini 7.0% 5.9% 6.0% 8.2% 7.1% 7.8% 11.5% 10.2% 11.9% 12.8% 8.9% 2.7%
Jackson Dunitz 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.7% 1.7% 1.5% 2.5% 2.7% 6.2% 11.1% 70.0%
Jay Spector 7.9% 6.8% 8.6% 9.7% 8.3% 10.4% 11.9% 10.5% 11.1% 8.3% 5.4% 1.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.