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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.82+7.89vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.39+4.54vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+4.06vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.55+2.01vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.09+3.00vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.42+3.84vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.37-0.44vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.07+4.28vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.06-1.27vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-1.40vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.84-2.42vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering0.46+1.71vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.87-0.49vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.51-2.74vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.07-3.46vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.43-2.57vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.42-3.91vs Predicted
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18Yale University2.71-12.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89Brown University1.825.9%1st Place
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6.54Dartmouth College2.399.7%1st Place
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7.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.327.8%1st Place
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6.01Yale University2.5511.2%1st Place
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8.0Boston College2.096.1%1st Place
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9.84University of Rhode Island1.424.1%1st Place
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6.56Brown University2.379.7%1st Place
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12.28Boston University1.072.3%1st Place
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7.73Bowdoin College2.066.5%1st Place
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8.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.935.3%1st Place
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8.58Roger Williams University1.846.2%1st Place
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13.71Olin College of Engineering0.461.4%1st Place
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12.51University of Vermont0.872.1%1st Place
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11.26Tufts University1.512.1%1st Place
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11.54Northeastern University1.072.4%1st Place
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13.43Connecticut College0.431.8%1st Place
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13.09Fairfield University0.422.2%1st Place
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5.37Yale University2.7113.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Styron | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Blake Behrens | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Porter Bell | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 10.5% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Maks Groom | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Peter Schnell | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 23.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 12.1% |
| Connor Rosow | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 6.2% |
| Andrew Powers | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 18.9% |
| Nolan Cooper | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 16.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.