Race 9B

maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

16.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Killian Corbishley 20.0% 17.5% 17.2% 12.8% 10.3% 7.6% 6.1% 4.3% 2.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1%
William Godfrey 16.6% 16.3% 14.2% 13.7% 10.7% 8.6% 8.0% 5.3% 4.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Austin Buonsignore 9.5% 9.0% 9.8% 9.3% 9.1% 11.9% 10.8% 10.9% 8.3% 7.0% 3.3% 1.1%
Dante Iozzo 3.3% 3.0% 4.3% 5.9% 6.9% 6.9% 9.0% 9.1% 13.1% 14.2% 14.2% 10.1%
John Nothacker 8.5% 11.0% 9.1% 9.0% 11.6% 10.6% 9.3% 10.5% 8.1% 7.4% 3.1% 1.8%
Sarah Hamm 3.3% 3.1% 3.4% 5.7% 4.6% 5.4% 7.8% 9.2% 9.5% 15.4% 20.3% 12.3%
Mia Cooper 12.8% 11.9% 10.6% 11.9% 12.3% 11.1% 8.4% 8.8% 6.0% 3.5% 2.2% 0.5%
Jay Spector 9.3% 10.4% 8.8% 8.5% 9.8% 10.2% 9.7% 10.2% 8.8% 7.6% 4.8% 1.9%
Colin Keil 6.4% 8.9% 11.1% 9.8% 10.3% 10.5% 11.5% 10.0% 8.7% 7.5% 4.2% 1.1%
Andrew Mueller 1.6% 1.2% 3.0% 2.0% 2.4% 2.4% 3.8% 4.8% 7.2% 11.2% 16.9% 43.5%
Morgan Beals 2.2% 1.8% 2.3% 3.0% 3.1% 5.1% 5.5% 6.0% 10.4% 13.7% 21.9% 25.0%
Nicholas Pardini 6.5% 5.9% 6.2% 8.4% 8.9% 9.7% 10.1% 10.9% 13.3% 9.3% 8.2% 2.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.