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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+5.08vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+3.34vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.37+3.40vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.06+3.81vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+1.91vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.84+2.52vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.09+0.75vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.42+1.83vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.07+3.07vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.82-0.85vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.07+0.26vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.27+2.38vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.51-1.95vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering0.46-0.24vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-6.29vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.42-2.89vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.39-10.48vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.87-5.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08Yale University2.5510.5%1st Place
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5.34Yale University2.7115.1%1st Place
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6.4Brown University2.3710.0%1st Place
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7.81Bowdoin College2.065.9%1st Place
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6.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.328.7%1st Place
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8.52Roger Williams University1.845.4%1st Place
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7.75Boston College2.096.5%1st Place
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9.83University of Rhode Island1.424.0%1st Place
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12.07Boston University1.071.8%1st Place
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9.15Brown University1.825.2%1st Place
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11.26Northeastern University1.072.2%1st Place
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14.38Connecticut College0.271.6%1st Place
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11.05Tufts University1.513.1%1st Place
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13.76Olin College of Engineering0.461.2%1st Place
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8.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.935.8%1st Place
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13.11Fairfield University0.421.6%1st Place
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6.52Dartmouth College2.399.7%1st Place
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12.36University of Vermont0.871.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 15.1% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Porter Bell | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% |
| Thomas Styron | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 16.9% | 30.9% |
| Connor Rosow | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% |
| Peter Schnell | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 22.4% |
| Maks Groom | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 12.7% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.