← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Killian Corbishley 19.6% 19.0% 14.6% 13.6% 11.1% 7.9% 7.0% 3.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Morgan Beals 2.2% 2.1% 2.5% 3.2% 3.9% 5.2% 5.3% 7.3% 9.8% 13.0% 23.9% 21.6%
Mia Cooper 11.9% 11.3% 11.8% 9.9% 10.4% 11.7% 10.5% 9.4% 6.7% 4.3% 1.7% 0.4%
Jay Spector 6.8% 8.3% 10.1% 11.3% 9.4% 9.3% 12.0% 10.1% 9.0% 7.9% 3.8% 2.0%
Dante Iozzo 3.1% 4.8% 4.1% 5.6% 6.1% 7.1% 7.5% 9.7% 11.9% 14.5% 15.5% 10.1%
William Godfrey 17.0% 15.3% 14.7% 12.0% 12.3% 10.1% 7.0% 5.7% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Austin Buonsignore 10.1% 9.1% 11.6% 9.3% 10.8% 8.8% 10.6% 10.8% 7.1% 6.5% 3.5% 1.8%
John Nothacker 9.4% 11.0% 10.0% 9.7% 9.8% 10.5% 9.4% 11.3% 7.4% 6.5% 3.8% 1.2%
Colin Keil 7.1% 8.6% 10.4% 9.5% 11.3% 10.2% 9.8% 10.6% 9.0% 8.1% 4.4% 1.0%
Sarah Hamm 4.0% 3.2% 3.8% 4.6% 4.9% 6.0% 7.4% 8.0% 12.5% 15.4% 16.1% 14.1%
Andrew Mueller 1.7% 1.6% 0.7% 2.3% 2.1% 3.2% 3.5% 4.2% 7.2% 10.3% 19.1% 44.1%
Nicholas Pardini 7.1% 5.7% 5.7% 9.0% 7.9% 10.0% 10.0% 9.9% 13.2% 10.6% 7.3% 3.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.