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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.39+5.54vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+3.53vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+2.95vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.37+2.63vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.42+7.93vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+0.64vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.82+2.14vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.06-0.24vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.09-1.19vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.84-1.57vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.87+1.30vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-3.44vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.42-3.29vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.07-1.74vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.27-0.42vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering0.46-2.32vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.51-5.79vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.07-6.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.54Dartmouth College2.399.1%1st Place
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5.53Yale University2.7113.4%1st Place
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5.95Yale University2.5510.8%1st Place
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6.63Brown University2.379.2%1st Place
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12.93Fairfield University0.421.9%1st Place
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6.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.328.6%1st Place
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9.14Brown University1.824.5%1st Place
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7.76Bowdoin College2.066.3%1st Place
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7.81Boston College2.097.2%1st Place
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8.43Roger Williams University1.846.7%1st Place
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12.3University of Vermont0.872.4%1st Place
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8.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.935.5%1st Place
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9.71University of Rhode Island1.424.0%1st Place
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12.26Boston University1.072.5%1st Place
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14.58Connecticut College0.271.4%1st Place
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13.68Olin College of Engineering0.461.2%1st Place
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11.21Tufts University1.512.6%1st Place
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11.32Northeastern University1.072.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.4% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 14.5% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Styron | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.4% |
| Maks Groom | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Porter Bell | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.2% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 30.8% |
| Peter Schnell | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 17.1% | 20.9% |
| Connor Rosow | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.