Race 11B

maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Dante Iozzo 3.1% 4.7% 4.3% 5.5% 5.5% 5.7% 7.7% 9.8% 13.9% 13.9% 16.3% 9.6%
Colin Keil 7.1% 8.0% 9.3% 9.1% 9.3% 10.8% 10.8% 10.3% 10.4% 8.6% 4.6% 1.7%
Jay Spector 8.8% 7.2% 9.4% 9.0% 9.4% 10.5% 10.5% 11.1% 9.8% 8.4% 4.6% 1.3%
Austin Buonsignore 7.9% 9.9% 10.1% 9.3% 11.6% 12.0% 10.0% 10.0% 7.0% 6.9% 4.0% 1.3%
Killian Corbishley 20.7% 21.1% 13.7% 10.3% 11.5% 8.4% 5.9% 3.6% 3.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
William Godfrey 17.1% 14.7% 15.8% 13.1% 10.6% 8.5% 8.6% 6.3% 3.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Mia Cooper 12.4% 12.3% 11.4% 11.9% 11.3% 9.8% 9.6% 7.9% 6.6% 4.2% 1.8% 0.8%
Morgan Beals 2.1% 3.3% 3.7% 3.1% 4.0% 4.3% 6.1% 6.8% 8.6% 13.2% 22.2% 22.6%
John Nothacker 8.6% 8.4% 11.7% 13.3% 11.3% 9.2% 10.7% 9.2% 8.8% 5.5% 2.5% 0.8%
Sarah Hamm 3.9% 3.3% 4.0% 4.9% 4.7% 7.0% 7.4% 8.6% 10.1% 16.0% 17.0% 13.1%
Andrew Mueller 1.9% 1.5% 0.8% 1.4% 2.8% 3.2% 2.9% 4.4% 6.8% 11.1% 17.3% 45.9%
Nicholas Pardini 6.4% 5.6% 5.8% 9.1% 8.0% 10.6% 9.8% 12.0% 11.6% 9.6% 8.6% 2.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.