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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.02+9.81vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.29+7.40vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+4.37vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.81+7.80vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.48+3.38vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.29+3.27vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.82+4.39vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.23+1.71vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.71+3.23vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.51+3.15vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.99-0.41vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-0.32vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+0.42vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.74-1.53vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.92-3.43vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.87-4.66vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.75-4.78vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.51-9.85vs Predicted
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19Cornell University3.35-10.21vs Predicted
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20Columbia University2.43-6.12vs Predicted
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21Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-1.95vs Predicted
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22Northeastern University1.83-5.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.81University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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9.4University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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7.37U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.8Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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8.38Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.27Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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11.39Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.71Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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12.23Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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13.15Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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10.59University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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11.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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13.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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12.47Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.57Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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11.34Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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12.22Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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8.15Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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8.79Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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13.88Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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19.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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16.34Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanel Miller | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Mary Hall | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Russom | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Billing | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Sky Adams | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Haley Powell | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.4% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Turner | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 5.7% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 12.2% | 51.6% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 18.9% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.