Race 1A

saisa-north-fall-tournament

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Andrew Simpson 10.2% 10.2% 13.1% 12.2% 13.0% 11.5% 12.2% 10.4% 5.6% 1.5% 0.1%
Rowan Barnes 7.5% 9.2% 9.5% 11.1% 9.4% 13.0% 13.4% 12.2% 10.2% 3.5% 0.9%
Nilah Miller 16.1% 17.1% 15.5% 14.1% 13.2% 9.3% 7.6% 4.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Kenneth Buck 9.5% 8.8% 11.1% 12.2% 13.2% 11.7% 12.4% 10.7% 7.2% 2.6% 0.5%
Robert Chase 29.7% 22.1% 17.0% 12.8% 8.2% 6.0% 2.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Torin Stremlau 2.4% 2.4% 4.0% 4.9% 5.3% 7.2% 8.6% 13.2% 24.6% 21.1% 6.3%
Ian Hoogenboom 8.9% 10.3% 10.3% 11.4% 11.9% 11.9% 12.8% 11.1% 8.7% 2.4% 0.4%
Emma Pope 0.9% 0.5% 1.0% 0.8% 1.6% 1.2% 2.6% 3.4% 6.7% 23.7% 57.7%
Noah Jost 8.1% 11.2% 10.4% 11.8% 11.7% 13.4% 11.7% 11.1% 7.5% 2.8% 0.5%
Matthew Blessington 0.9% 1.8% 1.5% 1.2% 1.9% 2.9% 3.5% 6.4% 12.8% 34.5% 32.5%
Francis "Mac" Humphrey 5.7% 6.5% 6.7% 7.6% 10.5% 11.8% 12.3% 15.8% 14.3% 7.6% 1.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.