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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.89+4.50vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.33+5.52vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.65+7.10vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.52+3.06vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont4.60+1.57vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College4.06+2.87vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-0.43vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.85-2.27vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University4.78-2.80vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University3.92-0.86vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.74-1.06vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire2.78+1.00vs Predicted
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13Brown University4.28-5.06vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.33-7.25vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.00-1.17vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.89-4.26vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut2.60-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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7.52Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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10.1University of Rhode Island3.650.0%1st Place
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7.06Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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6.57University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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8.87Dartmouth College4.060.0%1st Place
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6.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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5.73Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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6.2Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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9.14Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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9.94Connecticut College3.740.0%1st Place
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13.0University of New Hampshire2.780.0%1st Place
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7.94Brown University4.280.1%1st Place
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7.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.330.1%1st Place
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14.83Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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12.74Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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13.54University of Connecticut2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Sinks | 13.7% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tomas Hornos | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ben Quatromoni | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Alan Palmer | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Clinton Hayes | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Sam Williams | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Ingham | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Barrows | 12.2% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cy Thompson | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Matt Sterett | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 1.6% |
| Gregg Griffin | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 16.0% | 19.8% | 15.0% |
| Jeff Knowles | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Leighton | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 18.4% | 44.7% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 12.5% |
| Jon Beery | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 22.6% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.