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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.47+1.94vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.45+2.40vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+3.45vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.88-1.77vs Predicted
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5American University-0.86-0.02vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-0.59-1.34vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-2.11+0.66vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.14-0.16vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-1.52-2.38vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-2.98-0.69vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-2.72-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94Drexel University0.4722.8%1st Place
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4.4University of Maryland-0.4510.0%1st Place
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6.45SUNY Stony Brook-0.603.5%1st Place
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2.23Virginia Tech0.8839.0%1st Place
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4.98American University-0.867.7%1st Place
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4.66University of Delaware-0.598.5%1st Place
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7.66Syracuse University-2.112.6%1st Place
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7.84University of Delaware-2.141.5%1st Place
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6.62Penn State University-1.523.0%1st Place
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9.31U. S. Military Academy-2.980.8%1st Place
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8.91William and Mary-2.720.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iain Shand | 22.8% | 23.8% | 20.3% | 15.9% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 10.0% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 2.5% |
| Robert Riecker | 39.0% | 26.8% | 17.8% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Coffill | 8.5% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Alice Kilkelly | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 18.7% | 10.4% |
| Myles Wommack | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 11.9% |
| Mac Fitzgerald | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 2.9% |
| Kota McCann | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 22.7% | 40.8% |
| Alexander Deas | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 21.2% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.