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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+6.27vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+7.62vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.74+9.31vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.92+7.17vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.51+3.29vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.02+4.70vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.87+4.22vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+3.80vs Predicted
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9Columbia University2.43+4.75vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.29-0.80vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.99-0.46vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.29-2.78vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.71-0.70vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-0.30vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.81-2.93vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.51-2.88vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.48-8.45vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.82-6.38vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University1.83-2.80vs Predicted
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20Cornell University3.35-10.86vs Predicted
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21Connecticut College2.75-8.93vs Predicted
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22Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.62Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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12.31Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.17Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.29Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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10.7University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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11.22Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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11.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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13.75Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.2Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.54University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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9.22University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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12.3Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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13.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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12.07Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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13.12Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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8.55Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.62Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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16.2Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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9.14Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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12.07Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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19.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Haley Powell | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Irene Jacqz | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 5.5% |
| Emily Billing | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 3.7% |
| Morgan Russom | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sky Adams | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 16.5% | 15.9% |
| Lauren Turner | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 13.8% | 51.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.