Race 2A

saisa-north-fall-tournament

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Andrew Simpson 10.7% 10.8% 12.2% 11.1% 12.8% 13.2% 11.6% 8.9% 6.8% 1.7% 0.1%
Kenneth Buck 8.5% 8.2% 11.8% 11.8% 13.2% 11.8% 11.3% 11.6% 8.7% 2.8% 0.4%
Robert Chase 29.1% 23.8% 17.2% 12.2% 8.4% 5.0% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Nilah Miller 16.2% 16.6% 15.8% 13.6% 11.3% 10.6% 9.0% 4.1% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Ian Hoogenboom 8.5% 10.0% 10.0% 11.0% 11.9% 13.6% 14.1% 10.5% 7.5% 2.5% 0.4%
Rowan Barnes 7.6% 8.4% 9.2% 11.4% 12.3% 13.0% 12.1% 12.7% 9.7% 3.0% 0.7%
Torin Stremlau 3.0% 3.4% 3.6% 5.1% 5.1% 5.9% 7.9% 12.7% 25.8% 21.2% 6.3%
Francis "Mac" Humphrey 5.5% 7.0% 7.9% 8.5% 8.2% 11.4% 13.2% 16.7% 13.9% 6.5% 1.2%
Emma Pope 0.4% 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 1.5% 1.8% 3.6% 6.2% 22.4% 60.1%
Matthew Blessington 0.8% 1.2% 1.7% 2.2% 2.7% 2.5% 4.2% 6.6% 11.2% 36.8% 30.1%
Noah Jost 9.6% 10.2% 9.5% 12.0% 12.7% 11.5% 11.8% 11.7% 7.6% 2.7% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.