← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+10.87vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.19vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont2.99+8.10vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida3.29+5.33vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.83+11.35vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College2.75+6.15vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University3.48+1.17vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island3.02+2.83vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.81+2.71vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University2.92+1.05vs Predicted
-
11Boston University2.74+0.79vs Predicted
-
12Yale University3.29-2.82vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University2.87-1.52vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-0.24vs Predicted
-
15Brown University2.82-2.93vs Predicted
-
16Georgetown University2.71-3.89vs Predicted
-
17Dartmouth College3.23-7.22vs Predicted
-
18Boston College3.51-9.84vs Predicted
-
19Cornell University3.35-10.23vs Predicted
-
20Columbia University2.43-6.09vs Predicted
-
21Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-1.92vs Predicted
-
22Bowdoin College2.51-8.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
-
7.19U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
11.1University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
-
9.33University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
-
16.35Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
-
12.15Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
-
8.17Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
10.83University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
-
11.71Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
-
11.05Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
-
11.79Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
-
9.18Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
-
11.48Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
-
13.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
-
12.07Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
-
12.11Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
-
9.78Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
8.16Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
-
8.77Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
-
13.91Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
-
19.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
-
13.16Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Lepert | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Mary Hall | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.9% | 2.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 17.4% | 16.3% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Russom | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Haley Powell | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Emily Billing | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Lauren Cefali | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.2% |
| Sky Adams | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Turner | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 4.8% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 13.4% | 51.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.