Race 3A

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Robert Chase 28.9% 22.8% 18.4% 12.3% 8.4% 4.5% 3.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Kenneth Buck 8.8% 10.5% 9.8% 10.8% 13.5% 12.0% 13.0% 10.2% 8.2% 3.0% 0.3%
Nilah Miller 16.6% 16.0% 15.8% 13.5% 13.5% 10.3% 7.8% 4.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Andrew Simpson 10.8% 10.3% 11.3% 12.7% 13.1% 13.3% 12.5% 8.9% 5.1% 1.8% 0.1%
Rowan Barnes 7.8% 9.4% 9.4% 11.8% 10.9% 11.7% 13.1% 13.2% 8.6% 3.6% 0.5%
Francis "Mac" Humphrey 5.8% 6.7% 7.3% 7.6% 9.0% 10.0% 11.8% 16.7% 16.6% 7.2% 1.5%
Ian Hoogenboom 9.2% 8.0% 11.2% 13.1% 11.7% 12.4% 11.9% 11.8% 7.2% 3.0% 0.4%
Noah Jost 8.1% 10.9% 11.1% 11.2% 11.1% 13.7% 11.8% 11.5% 7.3% 3.1% 0.4%
Matthew Blessington 0.8% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 2.1% 3.4% 4.2% 6.5% 13.8% 35.0% 30.0%
Torin Stremlau 2.8% 3.3% 3.5% 4.4% 5.7% 7.0% 8.1% 12.9% 23.9% 21.2% 7.2%
Emma Pope 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 1.1% 1.2% 1.8% 2.8% 3.0% 7.1% 21.2% 59.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.