Race 4A

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Rowan Barnes 7.0% 7.8% 9.3% 10.6% 11.9% 12.9% 13.9% 13.9% 8.6% 3.6% 0.5%
Nilah Miller 16.9% 16.6% 16.4% 12.9% 11.8% 11.2% 7.5% 4.0% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Robert Chase 28.6% 23.9% 18.1% 11.9% 8.0% 5.1% 2.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Kenneth Buck 9.8% 9.4% 9.8% 13.4% 11.9% 13.0% 12.3% 10.9% 6.7% 2.5% 0.3%
Ian Hoogenboom 8.7% 9.8% 10.0% 12.2% 13.1% 12.6% 12.7% 10.6% 7.5% 2.5% 0.5%
Noah Jost 8.1% 9.7% 11.3% 13.0% 12.0% 12.8% 12.4% 10.0% 8.1% 2.6% 0.2%
Andrew Simpson 11.3% 10.4% 12.1% 12.1% 12.7% 12.2% 10.9% 9.6% 6.5% 2.1% 0.1%
Torin Stremlau 2.7% 3.4% 3.8% 3.3% 5.7% 5.6% 9.2% 13.9% 26.3% 19.4% 6.7%
Francis "Mac" Humphrey 5.4% 6.9% 7.8% 8.2% 10.5% 10.2% 12.7% 16.2% 14.5% 6.6% 0.9%
Emma Pope 0.8% 1.0% 0.4% 1.1% 1.0% 1.7% 2.2% 4.0% 6.8% 23.8% 57.4%
Matthew Blessington 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 1.4% 1.4% 2.7% 3.5% 5.5% 12.6% 36.6% 33.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.