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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.99+9.97vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.29+7.34vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.35+6.23vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.51+4.31vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.81+6.82vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.02+4.71vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.82+4.41vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+5.44vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.86vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+1.58vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.92-0.04vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.29-2.79vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.48-4.63vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.71-1.35vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.74-2.51vs Predicted
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16Columbia University2.43-2.46vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.87-5.34vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.23-8.52vs Predicted
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19Bowdoin College2.51-5.99vs Predicted
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20Connecticut College2.75-7.79vs Predicted
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21Northeastern University1.83-4.67vs Predicted
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22Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.97University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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9.34University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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9.23Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.31Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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11.82Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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10.71University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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11.41Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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13.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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7.14U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.96Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.21Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.37Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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12.65Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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12.49Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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13.54Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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11.66Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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9.48Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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13.01Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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12.21Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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16.33Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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19.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Yeigh | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Lauren Turner | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Sky Adams | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 4.1% |
| Mary Hall | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Haley Powell | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Emily Billing | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 2.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 4.3% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 3.1% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 18.0% | 17.7% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 13.2% | 50.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.