Race 5A

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ian Hoogenboom 8.2% 9.8% 11.0% 12.7% 12.6% 11.3% 11.6% 11.5% 8.3% 2.5% 0.6%
Rowan Barnes 8.1% 9.0% 10.2% 10.6% 10.7% 13.1% 13.1% 13.3% 8.0% 3.4% 0.4%
Robert Chase 28.4% 23.5% 18.1% 12.0% 7.9% 5.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Kenneth Buck 9.0% 10.3% 11.1% 12.2% 11.4% 13.4% 10.7% 11.0% 8.2% 2.3% 0.4%
Andrew Simpson 11.5% 10.7% 11.7% 12.6% 13.4% 12.5% 10.3% 8.2% 6.9% 2.0% 0.2%
Nilah Miller 15.8% 16.0% 15.6% 14.2% 12.8% 9.8% 8.4% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Noah Jost 8.8% 9.7% 10.1% 10.8% 13.2% 11.9% 14.1% 11.5% 7.6% 2.1% 0.2%
Torin Stremlau 2.6% 2.8% 3.8% 4.3% 4.9% 6.7% 10.2% 13.5% 24.6% 20.1% 6.6%
Francis "Mac" Humphrey 5.9% 6.4% 6.3% 7.5% 10.1% 11.9% 12.8% 16.8% 13.5% 7.6% 1.2%
Matthew Blessington 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 1.8% 1.8% 2.7% 3.4% 5.5% 13.9% 36.8% 29.9%
Emma Pope 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 1.1% 1.2% 1.1% 2.2% 2.9% 7.0% 22.7% 60.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.