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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.29+8.54vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.74+10.07vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.35+6.19vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.29+5.28vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.71+7.23vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.51+7.26vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.51+1.10vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.99+2.91vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.81+2.84vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.92+1.05vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.48-2.91vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.74-4.92vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-1.30vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.82-1.92vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.87-3.16vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.23-6.51vs Predicted
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17Columbia University2.43-3.16vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.83-1.62vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College2.75-7.21vs Predicted
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20University of Rhode Island3.02-9.14vs Predicted
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21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-7.74vs Predicted
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22Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.54University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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12.07Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.19Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.28Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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12.23Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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13.26Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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8.1Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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10.91University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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11.84Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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11.05Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.09Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.08U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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12.08Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.84Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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9.49Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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13.84Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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16.38Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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11.79Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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10.86University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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13.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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19.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby Featherstone | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Lauren Turner | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Emily Billing | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Haley Powell | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mary Hall | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Sky Adams | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.3% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 17.3% | 16.8% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 14.2% | 51.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.