Race 6A

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nilah Miller 15.6% 16.5% 15.2% 16.0% 11.5% 11.1% 6.9% 4.5% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Rowan Barnes 7.5% 8.6% 9.2% 9.4% 11.6% 11.7% 13.9% 13.7% 10.0% 3.8% 0.7%
Ian Hoogenboom 9.5% 9.6% 10.5% 11.3% 11.3% 12.2% 12.2% 10.4% 9.0% 3.1% 0.6%
Kenneth Buck 10.1% 10.7% 10.9% 12.3% 11.9% 13.4% 11.1% 11.2% 5.9% 2.3% 0.4%
Noah Jost 9.5% 8.9% 10.8% 11.5% 13.2% 12.4% 11.9% 11.8% 7.3% 2.4% 0.3%
Andrew Simpson 9.7% 11.5% 11.7% 12.1% 11.9% 12.7% 12.7% 10.1% 5.6% 1.9% 0.2%
Robert Chase 27.0% 22.8% 17.4% 12.4% 9.5% 6.2% 3.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Francis "Mac" Humphrey 6.3% 6.3% 7.2% 8.5% 10.2% 10.5% 13.6% 15.2% 14.3% 7.2% 0.8%
Emma Pope 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 1.2% 1.7% 2.0% 4.0% 6.9% 22.4% 58.5%
Torin Stremlau 2.9% 3.1% 4.4% 3.9% 5.4% 5.1% 8.9% 12.6% 25.7% 21.1% 6.8%
Matthew Blessington 1.3% 1.4% 1.8% 1.6% 2.3% 2.9% 3.6% 5.5% 12.6% 35.3% 31.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.