← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.82+10.81vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.29+7.28vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.51+10.56vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University3.35+4.99vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida3.29+4.42vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.81+5.75vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University2.87+4.14vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University2.71+4.34vs Predicted
-
9Boston College3.51-0.80vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University2.92+1.06vs Predicted
-
11Boston University2.74+0.86vs Predicted
-
12Columbia University2.43+1.70vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College3.23-3.36vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-1.92vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College2.75-2.58vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University3.48-7.67vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-3.53vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Naval Academy3.74-10.91vs Predicted
-
19University of Rhode Island3.02-8.52vs Predicted
-
20Northeastern University1.83-3.49vs Predicted
-
21University of Vermont2.99-10.24vs Predicted
-
22Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.81Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
-
9.28Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
-
13.56Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
-
8.99Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
-
9.42University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
-
11.75Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
-
11.14Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
-
12.34Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
-
8.2Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
-
11.06Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
-
11.86Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
-
13.7Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
-
9.64Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
12.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
-
12.42Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
-
8.33Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
13.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
-
7.09U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
10.48University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
-
16.51Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
-
10.76University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
19.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Adams | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Emily Billing | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 2.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Haley Powell | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Liz Dubovik | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Cefali | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 4.4% |
| Mary Hall | 9.1% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 11.1% | 18.1% | 17.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 12.5% | 51.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.