← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.12+1.30vs Predicted
-
2Duke University-0.83+3.84vs Predicted
-
3University of North Carolina-0.05+1.24vs Predicted
-
4Clemson University-0.17-0.20vs Predicted
-
5The Citadel-0.41+0.18vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont-0.92+0.22vs Predicted
-
7Clemson University-0.77-1.54vs Predicted
-
8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21-1.28vs Predicted
-
9University of Georgia-2.36+0.05vs Predicted
-
10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92-1.80vs Predicted
-
11University of Tennessee-2.26-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.3North Carolina State University1.1238.8%1st Place
-
5.84Duke University-0.835.9%1st Place
-
4.24University of North Carolina-0.0511.5%1st Place
-
3.8Clemson University-0.1714.3%1st Place
-
5.18The Citadel-0.417.4%1st Place
-
6.22University of Vermont-0.925.5%1st Place
-
5.46Clemson University-0.777.2%1st Place
-
6.72University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.213.9%1st Place
-
9.05University of Georgia-2.361.6%1st Place
-
8.2University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.922.2%1st Place
-
8.99University of Tennessee-2.261.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 38.8% | 26.4% | 16.2% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ringel | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Kathleen Hale | 11.5% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Bialek | 14.3% | 17.8% | 17.4% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Henry Parker | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Julia Brighton | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 2.7% |
| Trevin Brown | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Sam Woodley | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 10.2% | 5.2% |
| Garrett Holt | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 22.1% | 36.5% |
| Joey Dunn | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 17.6% | 21.4% | 18.4% |
| Kate Pierce | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 14.0% | 23.9% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.