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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+8.40vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.17vs Predicted
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3Columbia University2.43+10.98vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.02+6.72vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.87+6.51vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.75+6.11vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.81+4.46vs Predicted
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8Cornell University3.35+1.15vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.51-0.80vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+1.58vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.74+0.84vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+1.37vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.23-3.39vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.71-1.37vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.82-2.98vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.29-6.77vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.99-6.04vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.92-6.91vs Predicted
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19Tufts University3.48-10.89vs Predicted
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20Bowdoin College2.51-6.57vs Predicted
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21Northeastern University1.83-4.70vs Predicted
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22Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.4Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.17U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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13.98Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.72University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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11.51Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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12.11Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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11.46Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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9.15Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.2Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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11.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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11.84Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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13.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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9.61Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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12.63Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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12.02Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.23University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.96University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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11.09Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.11Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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13.43Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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16.3Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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19.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 5.3% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Mary Hall | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.9% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 4.8% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Lauren Cefali | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.3% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 1.9% |
| Sky Adams | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Haley Powell | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 19.9% | 16.2% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 13.5% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.