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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.12+1.29vs Predicted
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2Clemson University-0.17+1.78vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.05+1.21vs Predicted
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4Duke University-0.83+1.82vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.77+0.55vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21+0.70vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.92-0.80vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-0.41-2.82vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92-0.68vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee-2.26-1.09vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-2.36-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29North Carolina State University1.1239.0%1st Place
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3.78Clemson University-0.1715.3%1st Place
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4.21University of North Carolina-0.0512.8%1st Place
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5.82Duke University-0.836.3%1st Place
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5.55Clemson University-0.776.6%1st Place
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6.7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.213.8%1st Place
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6.2University of Vermont-0.924.3%1st Place
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5.18The Citadel-0.418.1%1st Place
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8.32University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.921.6%1st Place
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8.91University of Tennessee-2.261.2%1st Place
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9.05University of Georgia-2.361.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 39.0% | 26.0% | 17.2% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 15.3% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 12.8% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Ringel | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Trevin Brown | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Sam Woodley | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 5.2% |
| Julia Brighton | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 2.1% |
| Henry Parker | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Joey Dunn | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 22.1% | 21.1% |
| Kate Pierce | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 14.4% | 22.9% | 32.7% |
| Garrett Holt | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 21.8% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.