← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.12+1.75vs Predicted
-
2The Citadel0.33+2.10vs Predicted
-
3Duke University-0.83+3.48vs Predicted
-
4Clemson University0.58-0.28vs Predicted
-
5University of North Carolina-0.05-0.14vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont-0.92+0.81vs Predicted
-
7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.80-0.43vs Predicted
-
8Clemson University-0.17-3.50vs Predicted
-
9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21-1.61vs Predicted
-
10University of Georgia-2.36-0.58vs Predicted
-
11University of Tennessee-2.26-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.75North Carolina State University1.1230.6%1st Place
-
4.1The Citadel0.3314.3%1st Place
-
6.48Duke University-0.834.4%1st Place
-
3.72Clemson University0.5816.8%1st Place
-
4.86University of North Carolina-0.059.2%1st Place
-
6.81University of Vermont-0.923.5%1st Place
-
6.57University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.804.2%1st Place
-
4.5Clemson University-0.1712.2%1st Place
-
7.39University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.212.8%1st Place
-
9.42University of Georgia-2.361.3%1st Place
-
9.4University of Tennessee-2.260.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 30.6% | 23.7% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 14.3% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Ringel | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 8.8% | 3.1% |
| Mason Baird | 16.8% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kathleen Hale | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Julia Brighton | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 11.5% | 4.1% |
| Lauren Cranidiotis | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 8.9% | 2.9% |
| Samantha Bialek | 12.2% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sam Woodley | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 20.8% | 15.9% | 5.8% |
| Garrett Holt | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 25.8% | 42.0% |
| Kate Pierce | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 25.3% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.