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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.35+8.14vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.48+6.32vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.92+8.47vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.29+5.37vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.02+5.78vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.82+5.74vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.71+4.88vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.74+4.23vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.87vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+1.58vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.51-2.98vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+1.38vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.23-3.39vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.29-4.38vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.99-3.85vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.87-4.61vs Predicted
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17Columbia University2.43-3.15vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.81-6.38vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College2.75-7.15vs Predicted
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20Northeastern University1.83-3.48vs Predicted
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21Bowdoin College2.51-7.75vs Predicted
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22Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.14Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.32Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.47Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.37University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.78University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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11.74Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.88Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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12.23Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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7.13U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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8.02Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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13.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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9.61Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.62Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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11.15University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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11.39Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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13.85Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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11.62Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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11.85Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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16.52Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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13.25Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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19.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Turner | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Haley Powell | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Sky Adams | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Mary Hall | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Cefali | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.5% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Billing | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 5.2% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 17.9% | 16.5% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 4.5% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 51.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.