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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.12+1.71vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.58+1.73vs Predicted
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3Clemson University-0.17+1.50vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.33+0.14vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.83+1.53vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21+1.31vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.92-0.13vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.05-3.17vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.80-2.34vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee-2.26-0.69vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-2.36-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71North Carolina State University1.1231.2%1st Place
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3.73Clemson University0.5815.6%1st Place
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4.5Clemson University-0.1711.7%1st Place
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4.14The Citadel0.3314.4%1st Place
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6.53Duke University-0.834.2%1st Place
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7.31University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.213.2%1st Place
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6.87University of Vermont-0.923.5%1st Place
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4.83University of North Carolina-0.059.8%1st Place
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6.66University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.804.2%1st Place
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9.31University of Tennessee-2.260.9%1st Place
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9.43University of Georgia-2.361.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 31.2% | 24.4% | 16.5% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Baird | 15.6% | 17.5% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 11.7% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 14.4% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Ringel | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 8.2% | 2.5% |
| Sam Woodley | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 18.7% | 16.2% | 7.0% |
| Julia Brighton | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 3.9% |
| Kathleen Hale | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Cranidiotis | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 3.0% |
| Kate Pierce | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 24.6% | 39.2% |
| Garrett Holt | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 24.1% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.