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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.06+7.41vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont4.60+4.58vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.78+3.02vs Predicted
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4Tufts University4.33+3.72vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.89+0.57vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+0.78vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.33+0.62vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.92+0.99vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.74+1.02vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.00+4.91vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.85-4.98vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.65-1.85vs Predicted
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13Brown University4.28-5.06vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire2.78-0.88vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.89-2.35vs Predicted
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16Harvard University4.52-8.98vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut2.60-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.41Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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6.58University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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6.02Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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7.72Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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5.57Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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6.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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7.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.330.1%1st Place
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8.99Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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10.02Connecticut College3.740.0%1st Place
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14.91Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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6.02Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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10.15University of Rhode Island3.650.0%1st Place
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7.94Brown University4.280.1%1st Place
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13.12University of New Hampshire2.780.0%1st Place
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12.65Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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7.02Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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13.48University of Connecticut2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Williams | 6.5% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Clinton Hayes | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cy Thompson | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tomas Hornos | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Sinks | 12.3% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ingham | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Leighton | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Matt Sterett | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 11.4% | 19.8% | 42.8% |
| Thomas Barrows | 12.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ben Quatromoni | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
| Jeff Knowles | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Gregg Griffin | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 19.1% | 16.3% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 17.4% | 17.3% | 12.5% |
| Alan Palmer | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jon Beery | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 19.8% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.