Race 8A

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Iain Shand 24.7% 23.4% 20.2% 14.6% 9.5% 4.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sophie Grigg 10.3% 12.6% 15.2% 15.4% 15.8% 12.6% 9.7% 5.2% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Robert Riecker 37.0% 27.8% 18.6% 9.7% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Rose von Eckartsberg 2.7% 5.1% 6.3% 8.2% 11.0% 12.4% 16.5% 16.4% 12.3% 6.5% 2.5%
Olivia Coffill 8.8% 10.2% 14.2% 16.4% 14.9% 14.3% 10.7% 6.1% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2%
Hannah Arey 8.3% 9.8% 11.2% 13.6% 16.4% 14.5% 12.2% 7.8% 4.3% 1.6% 0.1%
Alexander Deas 0.8% 1.3% 1.2% 2.6% 3.5% 5.5% 6.6% 9.6% 13.6% 25.8% 29.5%
Myles Wommack 1.8% 2.0% 3.3% 3.9% 6.7% 9.1% 9.8% 15.1% 17.3% 18.1% 13.0%
Mac Fitzgerald 3.5% 4.5% 5.2% 8.8% 9.3% 12.7% 15.4% 15.2% 14.1% 8.2% 3.0%
Alice Kilkelly 1.3% 2.7% 3.1% 4.3% 5.9% 8.3% 10.7% 14.9% 19.7% 17.1% 12.0%
Kota McCann 0.8% 0.6% 1.3% 2.3% 2.5% 4.2% 5.7% 8.9% 13.1% 21.1% 39.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.