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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+6.27vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.29+7.30vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+8.97vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.29+5.35vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.02+5.69vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.82+5.74vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.51+1.01vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.48+0.48vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.51+4.29vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.71+2.08vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.83+5.24vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.74+0.15vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.87-1.54vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.23-4.06vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.92-3.49vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.75-4.07vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.99-6.05vs Predicted
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18Cornell University3.35-9.12vs Predicted
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19Harvard University2.81-7.47vs Predicted
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20U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-6.52vs Predicted
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21Columbia University2.43-7.38vs Predicted
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22Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.3Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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11.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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9.35University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.69University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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11.74Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.01Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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8.48Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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13.29Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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12.08Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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16.24Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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12.15Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.46Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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9.94Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.51Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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11.93Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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10.95University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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8.88Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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11.53Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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13.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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13.62Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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19.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Billing | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.1% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Sky Adams | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 18.5% | 15.6% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Haley Powell | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Lauren Turner | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Lauren Cefali | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 5.3% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 12.0% | 52.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.