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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.58+2.65vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.12+0.74vs Predicted
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3Clemson University-0.17+1.50vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.33+0.11vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.83+1.53vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21+1.49vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.80-0.50vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-0.92-1.16vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-0.05-4.11vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee-2.26-0.75vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-2.36-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Clemson University0.5818.0%1st Place
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2.74North Carolina State University1.1227.9%1st Place
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4.5Clemson University-0.1711.7%1st Place
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4.11The Citadel0.3313.4%1st Place
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6.53Duke University-0.834.5%1st Place
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7.49University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.213.1%1st Place
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6.5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.805.3%1st Place
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6.84University of Vermont-0.923.6%1st Place
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4.89University of North Carolina-0.0510.5%1st Place
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9.25University of Tennessee-2.261.1%1st Place
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9.5University of Georgia-2.360.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Baird | 18.0% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Usher | 27.9% | 25.8% | 18.4% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 11.7% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 13.4% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Ringel | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 9.2% | 2.7% |
| Sam Woodley | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 20.8% | 16.8% | 7.4% |
| Lauren Cranidiotis | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 9.1% | 3.0% |
| Julia Brighton | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 3.8% |
| Kathleen Hale | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Kate Pierce | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 25.3% | 38.2% |
| Garrett Holt | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 24.8% | 44.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.