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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.27+5.04vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.83+2.25vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.16+4.70vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.84+3.44vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.35+0.59vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.59-0.98vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.80+0.54vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.51+0.53vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.18-2.98vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.96-3.08vs Predicted
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11Williams College-0.90+3.62vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.53+3.67vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.05-2.30vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.82-0.61vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.41+0.26vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.93-2.26vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-1.19vs Predicted
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18Williams College-1.12-3.34vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-1.83-2.40vs Predicted
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20University of New Hampshire-1.77-3.59vs Predicted
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21Wesleyan University-2.87-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04Tufts University1.278.8%1st Place
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4.25Tufts University1.8318.9%1st Place
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7.7Tufts University1.166.0%1st Place
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7.44University of Vermont0.846.4%1st Place
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5.59Tufts University1.3510.8%1st Place
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5.02Tufts University1.5913.7%1st Place
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7.54Tufts University0.805.5%1st Place
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8.53Tufts University0.514.0%1st Place
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6.02Tufts University1.1810.2%1st Place
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6.92Tufts University0.967.1%1st Place
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14.62Williams College-0.900.5%1st Place
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15.67University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.530.8%1st Place
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10.7University of Vermont-0.052.6%1st Place
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13.39University of New Hampshire-0.821.1%1st Place
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15.26University of New Hampshire-1.410.8%1st Place
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13.74University of New Hampshire-0.930.9%1st Place
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15.81University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.420.4%1st Place
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14.66Williams College-1.120.8%1st Place
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16.6Wesleyan University-1.830.4%1st Place
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16.41University of New Hampshire-1.770.4%1st Place
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19.09Wesleyan University-2.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Bischoff | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 18.9% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Smith | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wallace | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gus Macaulay | 13.7% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Vogel | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annecy Kagan | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Angelina Papa | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 5.7% |
| Ella Towner | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jake Lacoche | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Devyn Weed | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 3.5% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Andy Giaya | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 6.5% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Sara Beth Bouchard | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 16.5% | 12.2% |
| Ethan Smits | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 11.2% |
| Benjamin Siegel | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 14.2% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.